National Weather Service Raw Text Product

636 
FXUS64 KTSA 170838
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
338 AM CDT Wed Jul 17 2019

.DISCUSSION...
Clearly the main forecast issue in the short term is the dangerous
heat and humidity that will impact a large portion of the forecast
area today, and to some extent through the weekend. The good news
is that it does appear a cold front will put an end to the
excessively hot weather by early next week for at least a few 
days.

Axis of flat-out disgusting dew points extends from west central
AR through much of northeast OK early this morning and in general
the highest dew points should shift a bit north through the day. 
While it appears the dew points could trend down several degrees 
across far southeast OK today, it is questionable whether lower 
Arkansas valley will see a significant change and as such, will 
expand the Excessive Heat Warning today to include this area, 
including Ft. Smith. Additional headlines will be needed Thursday 
and perhaps Friday, however the dew points are expected to trend 
down with time and will not issue headlines for later forecast 
periods at this time. While temperatures will remain hot through 
the weekend, heat index should be less a factor by then.

As mentioned earlier, the upper ridge is expected and shift west
and amplify next week, with mid range models all depicting a
frontal passage around Monday. The net result will be an increase
in precip chances with temperatures falling below normal for a
couple of days.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   98  80  97  80 /   0   0   0   0 
FSM   96  79  96  77 /   0   0   0   0 
MLC   95  76  94  76 /   0   0   0   0 
BVO   97  78  97  78 /   0   0   0   0 
FYV   92  73  92  72 /  10   0   0   0 
BYV   93  73  94  72 /  10   0   0   0 
MKO   96  76  95  76 /   0   0   0   0 
MIO   96  76  95  76 /   0   0   0   0 
F10   96  77  96  76 /   0   0   0   0 
HHW   95  76  92  75 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 9 PM CDT this evening 
     for OKZ049-053-063-068-069-071-073-075.

     Excessive Heat Warning from 11 AM this morning to 9 PM CDT this 
     evening for OKZ054>062-064>067-070-072-074-076.

AR...Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 9 PM CDT this evening 
     for ARZ001-002-010-011.

     Excessive Heat Warning from 11 AM this morning to 9 PM CDT this 
     evening for ARZ019-020-029.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...30
LONG TERM....14