543 
FXUS62 KFFC 150053
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion...Updated for Aviation
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
845 PM EDT Sun Jul 14 2019



.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Monday Night/...

Despite more limited enhanced moisture and some drier mid levels,
a sfc convergence zone extending from the Atlanta metro SEWD has
triggered some isolated to scattered storms with some strong
intensity. The outflows of this activity could drive further
convection late this afternoon into the evening, though overall
thinking is that development should wane after evening. Cannot 
rule out a band of moisture rotating around the remnants of Barry 
to the west brining some other chances of showers/storms later to 
portions of the west so will need to monitor trends with future 
updates.

Monday overall in a relatively quiet regime but still have enough
weak wave energy in parts of the north and conditional instability
from daytime heating to keep at least some slight pops for mid to
late afternoon. Coverage not expected to be more than isolated.

Temps look to run a few degrees above climo norms thru period.

Baker

&&

.LONG TERM /Tuesday through Sunday/...

No major changes made to the extended forecast. The long term begins 
with the remnants of Barry inland west of the area, near Arkansas 
and Missouri. Across the local forecast area, high pressure will be 
in place over the rest of the southeastern states and the remnants 
of Barry are expected to track north, riding around the northern 
edge of the high pressure before becoming swept up into the westerly 
flow. The remnant trough from Barry is then expected to move through 
the area late on Wednesday through Thursday, introducing additional 
moisture to the area. This will help to focus higher pops on 
Wednesday across northern Georgia and then Thursday/Friday across 
the rest of the area. Shortly after, high pressure builds back into 
the area from the northwest with moisture trapped underneath the 
ridge. Overall, chances for showers and thunderstorms will exist 
daily, with the highest coverage mainly in the afternoons and 
evenings. 

Temperatures through the extended are expected to be in the 80s to 
the mid 90s across the area. Overnight low temperatures will be in 
the mid 60s to mid 70s, around 2 to 7 degrees above average.

Reaves/01

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z UPDATE... Isolated thunderstorms should gradually diminish this 
evening. Should be vfr with mid/high cloud ceilings overnight and 
afternoon cumulus on Monday. Winds light northwest or calm overnight 
then becoming southwest after 15z. Chance for thunderstorms 
too low to include in tafs for Monday afternoon.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...

Medium on to high on all elements. 

41

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          71  93  73  92 /  20  20  10  20 
Atlanta         73  92  74  92 /  20  20  10  20 
Blairsville     64  85  66  84 /  20  30  20  30 
Cartersville    70  92  71  92 /  20  20  10  20 
Columbus        74  93  74  94 /  20  20   5  20 
Gainesville     71  90  72  89 /  20  20  10  20 
Macon           73  96  74  95 /  20  20   5  20 
Rome            70  91  71  92 /  20  20  20  20 
Peachtree City  71  92  72  92 /  20  20  10  20 
Vidalia         74  97  76  97 /  20  20  10  30 

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....Reaves/01 
AVIATION...41