725 
FXUS64 KMAF 102357
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
657 PM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019

.DISCUSSION...

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR. A few storms over the Permian Basin will continue to develop
on outflows the next couple of hours. A weak frontal boundary will
sag down into the area this evening with wind becoming NE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 222 PM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019/ 

DISCUSSION...

Temperatures have already warmed, once again, into the 100's 
across much of the area early this afternoon. We are seeing a few 
cumulus clouds popping up, but not expecting much out of them. If
a storm does form, gusty winds will be the main threat due to a
very dry sub-cloud layer. We are also monitoring an area of severe
storms along a cold front north of Lubbuck this afternoon. These 
continue to move south and if they hold on could make a run at the
northern Permian Basin this evening. 

Upper ridging will continue to expand over the region as we head 
into the late week time frame. Beneath the ridge a weak cold front
will move across the area tonight. This should suppress the high 
heat for a couple days as high temperatures drop back to near 
normal. There could be a few showers and storms along and ahead of
the front, but this activity looks to remain isolated at this 
time. 

The upper ridge will likely remain anchored over the western Plains 
into the weekend. Also of interest is soon to be Tropical Cyclone 
Barry over the northern Gulf of Mexico. It's not likely for our area 
to see rain from this system, but if it pushes further west we could 
see slightly cooler, easterly low level flow. This would keep 
temperatures in check and likely below the century mark through the 
weekend. For now this system appears it will directly affect east
Texas and Louisiana. 

By next week, upper ridging goes nowhere so the heat will remain in 
place. Much of the area will remain dry as well.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     72  94  72  95 /  20  10  10   0 
Carlsbad                       73  97  72  97 /  10  10  10  10 
Dryden                         74  95  74  97 /  10  30  20  10 
Fort Stockton                  72  94  71  94 /  10  20  10  10 
Guadalupe Pass                 70  91  68  90 /  10  10  10  10 
Hobbs                          69  95  69  95 /  10  10  10  10 
Marfa                          64  88  61  88 /  10  20  10  10 
Midland Intl Airport           72  96  72  96 /  20  10  10  10 
Odessa                         72  96  71  97 /  20  10  10  10 
Wink                           73  99  72  98 /  10  10  10  10 

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$