180 
FXUS62 KMLB 202000
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
400 PM EDT Mon May 20 2019

.DISCUSSION...

Thru Tonight...The east coast sea breeze is moving steadily,
sparking isolated showers propelling the boundary westward. As a
result, expect the collision with the west coast sea breeze to
occur west of Lake county this evening so have removed mentionable
PoPs after 8 pm for Lake county. Winds will become light and 
variable overnight with lows in the upper 60s and lower 70s.
Okeechobee should be the cool spot with lows in the mid 60s.

Tue-Wed night (Previous)...A surface high pressure will be 
centered just to the northeast of east central FL and north of the
Bahamas on Tue. An area of low pressure will be developing to the
east of the high but will curve to the northeast and remain over 
the open Atlantic waters. As the low moves away, the high will 
expand and be absorbed with another area of high pressure 
extending along the eastern coast of U.S. late Wed. PWAT values 
will around one inch and very dry air at the mid levels through 
the period. Therefore, rain chances will be less than 10 percent 
and mostly clear skies. Winds be light and variable at night and 
early morning, becoming east by late morning and afternoon. Temps 
on Tue will climb to the lower 90s across the interior while the 
coastal communities will only reach the upper 80s. Then on Wed, 
high temps will be a degree or two lower than Tue. At night, temps
will drop to near 70.

Thu-Sun (previous)...An area of high pressure centered over the 
mid- Atlantic states on Wed will drop to the southeast U.S. on 
Fri, remaining over the northeast gulf coast through Sunday. Rain 
chances will be very low, close to none and skies mostly clear. 
Models are indicating temps rising to above 90 starting on Fri 
across the interior, and even to the mid 90s on Sat and Sun. For 
now these were capped at 95 as we are still a week away. But it 
will be a definitely hot and dry Memorial Weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR conditions expected through the TAF period. 
Interior terminals will see a small window for showers this 
afternoon into early evening as the east coast sea breeze continues 
its way inland. Dry conditions then for overnight tonight and 
Tuesday.


&&

.MARINE...
Thru Wed...Light E/SE flow around 10 knots tonight and Tue with seas
2 to 3 feet, picking up just a bit on Wed 3 to 4 feet with 
afternoon winds increasing 10 to 15 knots. 

Thu-Fri night...For the end of the work week, winds will pickup 10 
to 15 knots and seas 4 to 5 feet, as a high pressure moves into the 
area from the northeast.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
With little chance for rain this week and weekend, ERC values 
will continue to increase. Minimum relative humidities will 
remain generally above 35 percent and 20 ft winds below 15 MPH.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  70  88  68  86 /   0   0   0   0 
MCO  70  93  70  92 /  10  10   0   0 
MLB  72  87  70  86 /   0   0   0   0 
VRB  68  87  67  86 /  10   0   0  10 
LEE  72  94  72  95 /  20  10  10   0 
SFB  69  94  70  92 /   0  10   0   0 
ORL  70  93  72  92 /  10  10   0   0 
FPR  70  87  68  86 /  10   0   0  10 

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Kelly
LONG TERM....Pendergrast
AVIATION...Combs