AFOS product AFDLUB
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Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDLUB
Product Timestamp: 2019-04-09 08:52 UTC

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FXUS64 KLUB 090852
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
352 AM CDT Tue Apr 9 2019

.DISCUSSION...
Today will be relatively quiet as upper ridging dominates the region. 
Surface winds will be on the breezy side as lee troughing develops 
across WY/CO. The upper ridge along with surface thermal 
ridging/thickness increases will help highs to reach into the upper 
80s/low 90s this afternoon. Tomorrow is still slated to be a very 
windy day as an upper low currently moving into the Pacific 
Northwest approaches the FA. The combination of a 50-60kt H700 jet, 
strong surface pressure gradient, and good mixing profiles should 
allow for sustained surface winds easily in the 40+mph range across 
much of the FA. The strongest winds are expected to be across our 
northern zones which are closer to the surface and upper low. Fire 
weather conditions will also be in the critical to extreme range as 
min RH values will be mostly in the single digits. A cold front will 
follow late Wednesday/early Thursday as the upper and surface low 
push off to the east. Winds will initially be on the breezy side as 
the cold front pushes through, but they will then decrease through 
the afternoon and evening. Highs on Thursday and Friday will be well 
below average for this time of year, upper 50s/low 60s. A chance 
also exists for a light frost and/or light freeze across much of the 
Caprock Thursday night/Friday morning. Freezing temps would most 
likely occur across our extreme northwestern zones.

The next system of interest will affect the FA this weekend. Details 
are still being worked out, but the next upper low looks to bring 
widespread precip to the region. As of now the precipitation looks 
to be in the form of rain showers, however the possibility does 
exists for some wintry precip across across our northern zones. 
Temperatures looks to be even cooler on Saturday as the system moves 
through with highs dipping into the upper 40s/mid 50s.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Fire Weather Watch from Wednesday morning through Wednesday 
evening for TXZ021>044.

High Wind Watch from Wednesday morning through Wednesday evening 
for TXZ021>044.

&&

$$

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