608 
FXUS64 KLCH 080303
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1003 PM CDT Sun Apr 7 2019

.DISCUSSION...
Trimmed back PoPs the rest of the evening and through the
overnight period with any additional shower/TSTM development
expected to be isolated to scattered in nature. Rest of forecast
was largely on track, with only minor adjustments to nudge first
period grids closer to observations.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 714 PM CDT Sun Apr 7 2019/ 

DISCUSSION...
Quick early evening update to remove now cancelled severe
thunderstorm and flash flood watches. No other changes at this
time. 

13

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 702 PM CDT Sun Apr 7 2019/ 

AVIATION...Stronger convection associated with deep low pressure
advancing northeast over east Texas has now moved out of the area.
Some stratiform rains in the wake of this convection will persist
over Acadiana for the next few hours. With these rains exiting,
expecting a dry night ahead area-wide as sharply drier air aloft 
has punched temporarily into the area. All terminals are now
reporting VFR ceilings, and will see this persist into the 
evening. Will then see a lowering of ceilings through MVFR into 
IFR. Isolated showers and a few thunderstorms are expected to 
return Monday as wrap-around moisture overspreads the area as the 
low pressure moves into north Louisiana.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 439 PM CDT Sun Apr 7 2019/ 

DISCUSSION...
A Severe Weather Watch 42 continues over southern Louisiana this 
evening. The watch will expire at 9 pm as the main lobe of energy
moves off to the east and northeast. Radar is indicating areas of
one to two inches of rainfall has fallen today with isolated 
locations receiving upwards to four inches. 

Drier air will move into through the day tomorrow ending during 
the evening hours.

Drier and near normal temperatures will become established on
Tuesday and continue through the work week. Storms are expected to
return next weekend as another system is expected to push into the
northwest gulf region.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  64  75  56  81 /  40  50  30   0 
LCH  63  78  59  82 /  30  20  20  10 
LFT  65  78  59  81 /  40  40  20   0 
BPT  62  78  58  83 /  30  20  20   0 

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$