National Weather Service Text Product
AFOS product FWFILM
Dates interpreted at 00:00 UTCDisplaying AFOS PIL: FWFILM
Product Timestamp: 2019-03-22 07:21 UTC
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453
FNUS52 KILM 220721
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
321 AM EDT Fri Mar 22 2019
.DISCUSSION..
Gusty west winds and near critical relative humidity expected this
afternoon ahead of another cold front.
The dry cold front is expected to move across the area this evening.
Dry weather and seasonable temps under high pressure will prevail
this weekend. Low pressure and a cold front will spread clouds and
rain into the Carolinas late Monday into Tuesday, followed again by
high pressure through the mid-week period.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is favorable.
Fog potential for tonight...none.
NCZ105>110-222330-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
321 AM EDT Fri Mar 22 2019
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud amount Clear Clear Clear
Precip chc (%) 0 0 0
Precip type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 67 37 64
Wnd20ft/early(mph) NW 9 W 9 G23 NW 6
Wnd20ft/late(mph) W 13 G25 NW 6 NW 8
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip duration
Inversion 46/900 1800 44/900
Dispersion Fair
Max/Min RH (%) 29 68 24
DSI 3 3
Haines Index 5 4 4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 5430 5660
Transport wnd (mph) W 26 NW 16
Ventilation rate 141180 90560
ADI early 54 Gen good 59 Gen good 57 Gen good
ADI late 81 Good 5 Very poor 71 Good
Max LVORI early 5 3 3
Max LVORI late 1 3 1
Remarks...Gusty west winds and near critical relative humidity
expected this afternoon. Near critical relative humidity expected
again Saturday afternoon.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 83 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 32 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Not as cool. Lows in the upper 40s.
Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Chance
of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the upper
40s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 53 percent. North winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
76 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-222330-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
321 AM EDT Fri Mar 22 2019
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud amount Clear Clear Clear
Precip chc (%) 0 0 0
Precip type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 66 36 64
Wnd20ft/early(mph) W 9 W 8 G21 NW 5
Wnd20ft/late(mph) W 13 G23 NW 5 NW 8
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip duration
Inversion 45/900 1800 44/900
Dispersion Fair
Max/Min RH (%) 26 69 23
DSI 3 3
Haines Index 4 4 4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 5850 5400
Transport wnd (mph) W 28 NW 15
Ventilation rate 163800 81000
ADI early 51 Gen good 64 Good 55 Gen good
ADI late 90 Good 4 Very poor 65 Good
Max LVORI early 4 3 3
Max LVORI late 1 3 1
Remarks...Gusty west winds and near critical relative humidity
expected this afternoon. Near critical relative humidity expected
again Saturday afternoon.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 27 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Not as cool. Lows in the upper 40s.
Maximum RH 94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Chance
of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the upper
40s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 46 percent. North winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
71 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
77 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-222330-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
321 AM EDT Fri Mar 22 2019
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud amount Clear Clear Clear
Precip chc (%) 0 0 0
Precip type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 67 38 65
Wnd20ft/early(mph) NW 9 W 8 G21 N 5
Wnd20ft/late(mph) W 12 G23 N 5 NW 7
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip duration
Inversion 45/900 1800 45/900
Dispersion Fair
Max/Min RH (%) 25 70 23
DSI 3 3
Haines Index 4 4 4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 5430 5490
Transport wnd (mph) W 25 NW 13
Ventilation rate 135750 71370
ADI early 45 Gen good 58 Gen good 52 Gen good
ADI late 82 Good 4 Very poor 61 Good
Max LVORI early 5 3 3
Max LVORI late 1 3 1
Remarks...Gusty west winds and near critical relative humidity
expected this afternoon. Near critical relative humidity expected
again Saturday afternoon.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the lower 50s.
Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Chance
of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows around 50.
Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 52 percent. North winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Colder. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 75 percent. Northeast winds 15 to
20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
79 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-222330-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
321 AM EDT Fri Mar 22 2019
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud amount Clear Clear Clear
Precip chc (%) 0 0 0
Precip type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 66 36 64
Wnd20ft/early(mph) W 8 NW 9 G21 NW 4
Wnd20ft/late(mph) W 13 G24 NW 5 NW 7
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip duration
Inversion 43/900 1800 44/900
Dispersion Fair
Max/Min RH (%) 25 71 23
DSI 3 3
Haines Index 4 4 4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 6030 5450
Transport wnd (mph) W 28 NW 13
Ventilation rate 168840 70850
ADI early 43 Gen good 62 Good 48 Gen good
ADI late 92 Good 4 Very poor 58 Gen good
Max LVORI early 4 2 3
Max LVORI late 1 3 1
Remarks...Gusty west winds and near critical relative humidity
expected this afternoon. Near critical relative humidity expected
again Saturday afternoon.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 77 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 27 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Not as cool. Lows in the upper 40s.
Maximum RH 93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Chance
of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the upper
40s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 47 percent. North winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 70 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
77 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-222330-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
321 AM EDT Fri Mar 22 2019
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud amount Clear Clear Clear
Precip chc (%) 0 0 0
Precip type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 68 37 65
Wnd20ft/early(mph) NW 8 W 8 G20 N 4
Wnd20ft/late(mph) W 13 G23 N 4 NW 7
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip duration
Inversion 44/900 1800 45/900
Dispersion Fair
Max/Min RH (%) 24 74 22
DSI 3 3
Haines Index 4 4 4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 5620 5300
Transport wnd (mph) W 25 NW 12
Ventilation rate 140500 63600
ADI early 41 Gen good 58 Gen good 44 Gen good
ADI late 81 Good 3 Very poor 55 Gen good
Max LVORI early 5 3 3
Max LVORI late 1 3 1
Remarks...Gusty west winds and near critical relative humidity
expected this afternoon. Near critical relative humidity expected
again Saturday afternoon.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 81 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 27 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Not as cool. Lows in the upper 40s.
Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent. Chance
of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the upper
40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 48 percent. North winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 72 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
29