577 
FXUS64 KAMA 030902
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
302 AM CST Sun Mar 3 2019

.DISCUSSION...
The remainder of the bulk of the frozen precipitation associated
with the upper level trough is quickly moving across the eastern
Panhandles and should exit the region later this morning. In the
wake of the system and the cold front and the rapidly rising
heights is the arctic airmass where temperatures will start this
morning in the upper single digits and lower teens with some very
low wind chills below zero, especially across the northern 
Panhandles. Low clouds will continue to linger with patchy 
freezing fog and freezing drizzle possible through the morning 
hours. Latest hi-res model profiles shows the low ceilings slowly 
starting to diminish as we go into the afternoon hours but cloud 
cover will continue throughout the day. With that said, the cold 
air will be locked in place today with high temperatures that will
struggle to get out of the teens up north to lower and mid 20s 
for the rest of the region. Temperatures tonight into early Monday
morning maybe our coldest of the season with lows getting down to
a few degrees above zero.

As we go through the coming week, temperatures will slowly
moderate. As a dichotomy of airmass sets up across the 
northwestern Panhandles near the front range, a weak vort max 
along a surface convergence boundary may generate some additional
snow showers across the far northern Panhandles Monday into 
Tuesday morning with very little snowfall accumulations possible. 
Overall though, tranquil weather conditions are expected most of 
the week. Temperatures will start with highs in the 20s and winds 
will veer to southwesterly by Thursday with highs in the 60s and 
70s with some areas in the SW Texas Panhandle may get to near 80 
degrees. Another disturbance might make its way into the Panhandle
by the start of next weekend with some showers, but it is almost 
a week out with low model agreement at this time. Temperatures 
will be above average going towards the end of the forecast 
period. 

Meccariello

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                24   4  24  11  40 /  20  10   5   5   0 
Beaver OK                  15   1  23  11  34 /  20  30  30  10   5 
Boise City OK              19   2  23  10  34 /  20  30  30  10   0 
Borger TX                  24   7  24  16  41 /  20  10  10   5   0 
Boys Ranch TX              27   6  27  14  43 /  20  10  10   5   0 
Canyon TX                  28   6  27  11  42 /  20  10   5   0   0 
Clarendon TX               25   6  27  15  42 /  20  10   5   5   0 
Dalhart TX                 22   5  25  10  40 /  20  20  20   5   0 
Guymon OK                  17   1  23  12  36 /  20  30  30  10   0 
Hereford TX                30   6  30  11  43 /  20  10   5   0   0 
Lipscomb TX                19   3  25  13  38 /  20  20  20   5   0 
Pampa TX                   23   1  24  12  39 /  20  10  10   5   0 
Shamrock TX                24   5  28  14  42 /  20  10   5   5   0 
Wellington TX              27   6  29  17  44 /  20  10   5   5   0 

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...Winter Weather Advisory until noon CST today for the following 
     zones: Armstrong...Carson...Collingsworth...Dallam...Deaf 
     Smith...Donley...Gray...Hansford...Hartley...Hemphill...
     Hutchinson...Lipscomb...Moore...Ochiltree...Oldham...Palo 
     Duro Canyon...Potter...Randall...Roberts...Sherman...
     Wheeler.

     Wind Chill Advisory until noon CST today for the following 
     zones: Dallam...Hansford...Hartley...Hemphill...
     Hutchinson...Lipscomb...Moore...Ochiltree...Roberts...
     Sherman.

OK...Winter Weather Advisory until noon CST today for the following 
     zones: Beaver...Cimarron...Texas.

     Wind Chill Advisory until noon CST today for the following 
     zones: Beaver...Cimarron...Texas.


&&

$$

15/29