565 
FXUS63 KFGF 250400 AAA
AFDFGF

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1000 PM CST Sun Feb 24 2019

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1000 PM CST Sun Feb 24 2019

Wind chills have fallen into the 20s and 30s below zero across the
region under clear skies. High clouds will begin to stream in
overnight, limiting nocturnal radiational cooling.

UPDATE Issued at 648 PM CST Sun Feb 24 2019

ND and MN DOTs indicate that road conditions are improving across
the region. Additionally visibility has greatly improved across
much of the region over the past few hours as winds have begun to
weaken and gusts have dropped out at most locations in the past 
hour. Will be expiring the winter weather advisory at 7pm CST as
planned. Attention now turns to dangerous wind chills, expected to
fall to -30 to -45 overnight and early Monday morning. Issued a
Wind Chill Warning for northeast ND and much of northwest MN and 
an Advisory for southeast ND and parts of northwest and west 
central MN.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 220 PM CST Sun Feb 24 2019

Blizzard conditions persist this afternoon across the region with
sheriff offices reporting white out conditions in open country
across the entire valley per phone calls. In town conditions
mostly unaffected with plenty of sunshine outside a passing
streamer. Will continue the headlines through 00z and as winds 
decrease with loss of mixing visibilities will improve across 
open country. As the arctic airmass moves in overnight 
temperatures will fall into the teens and 20s below by morning 
with winds 10 to 20 mph. As a result wind chill values will be in 
the 25 to 45 below range tonight through noon tomorrow. Highs 
tomorrow will likely be held below zero for most with a few 
locations in the trees able to warm under the full late February 
sun to single digits above. 

.LONG TERM...(Monday night through Sunday)
Issued at 220 PM CST Sun Feb 24 2019

Weather impact concerns for the upcoming week will center primarily 
on cold and wind chill affects and a chance for snow particularly 
over southern areas Tues and Fri.  

A frigid Mon will be followed by another cold night with lows 
dropping into the double digits below zero, worthy of more 
wind chill headlines.  

Clouds will thicken once more on Tue with another snow risk evolving 
from a Pacific hybrid system by afternoon into the evening. Light 
accumulations are expected, with highest amounts likely favoring the 
southern half of the forecast area. Given how some of these systems 
have trended to the north and west, we'll have to keep both eyes on 
this next one. It will be a little less cold by Wed/Thu when 850 mb 
temps actually try to close in on -10 C. Snow chances then increase 
on Fri with the chance for some accumulation as a Colorado low 
structure moves to the south, followed by more 20 degree below 
average air in time for the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday evening)
Issued at 648 PM CST Sun Feb 24 2019

Conditions will improve to VFR this evening as lingering low level 
clouds and lofted blowing snow move out of the region and gusty 
northwest winds weaken. Surface high pressure, light winds, and 
prevailing VFR conditions are expected late tonight through
Monday.


&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...Wind Chill Advisory until noon CST Monday for NDZ038-039-049-052-
     053.

     Wind Chill Warning until noon CST Monday for NDZ006>008-014>016-
     024-026>030-054.

MN...Wind Chill Advisory until noon CST Monday for MNZ002-003-017-
     022>024-027>032-040.

     Wind Chill Warning until noon CST Monday for MNZ001-004>009-
     013>016.

&&

$$

UPDATE...BP
SHORT TERM...JK 
LONG TERM...WJB 
AVIATION...BP