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200 
FXUS64 KTSA 150914
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
314 AM CST Fri Feb 15 2019

.DISCUSSION...
Cold front has pushed south into portions of southeast Oklahoma and
far northwest Arkansas early this morning. Shallow/cold air-mass 
will likely get hung in the higher terrain areas of aforementioned
area today before making a slow progression southward tonight. 

Temperatures have already fallen into the upper 20s across portions
of far northeast Oklahoma. Areas of freezing rain, mixed with sleet
will likely move into northeast Oklahoma this morning with light freezing
rain spreading into far northwest Arkansas by late morning or early
afternoon. Current winter weather advisory configuration looks good
for now with 0.1-0.2 inch ice amounts, including a couple of tenths
of sleet possible. Greatest amounts are expected to occur along 
the Oklahoma/Kansas state line. Could see some lingering areas of 
light freezing drizzle over far northwest Arkansas this evening before
upper wave begins to shift east of the region. 

Temperatures will remain well below normal through the weekend as
another surge of colder air moves into the region on Sunday into
Monday. Precipitation chances will begin to increase again Tuesday
into Wednesday as upper wave moves into the four corners region. 
Still the potential for a wintry mix during this time with some
minor snow accumulations possible, mainly across northeast
Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.   

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   32  23  39  31 /  60   0  10  10 
FSM   46  29  45  35 /  60  10  10  10 
MLC   45  28  46  32 /  30   0  10  10 
BVO   31  17  36  25 /  70   0  10  10 
FYV   40  24  43  30 /  80  20  10  20 
BYV   32  23  41  31 /  90  30  10  20 
MKO   40  24  44  31 /  60  10  10  10 
MIO   29  21  38  29 /  90  10  10  20 
F10   36  23  43  32 /  40   0  10  10 
HHW   59  32  50  40 /  10  10  10  10 

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Winter Weather Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for 
     OKZ054>064.

AR...Winter Weather Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for ARZ001-
     002.

&&

$$


LONG TERM....12