169 
FNUS76 KLOX 190622
FWSLOX

Spot Forecast for Bear Divide Ranger Station...USFS
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
1022 PM PST Tue Dec 18 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 PST on December 19. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure building over the region will bring a warming and
drying trend to the area along with gusty northeast winds. Peak gusts
between 30 to 35 mph are expected on Wednesday near the Bear Divide
area, weakening some by Thursday morning. Winds will weaken further
and shift to the southeast by Thursday afternoon. Humidities are
expected to lower through the period, possibly dropping into the
upper teens by Thursday afternoon. 

Cooler and more moist conditions are likely by Friday into the
weekend as as weak storm system moves over the area. 

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny. 
Max temperature.....63-68. 
Min humidity........26-30 percent. 
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts to 
                    15 mph. 
Wind (20 ft)........ 
 Slope/valley.......Northeast winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 
                    30 mph. 
 Ridgetop...........Northeast winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 
                    35 mph. 
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL rising to 2600 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....North 25 mph becoming northeast 20 mph.  


.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny. 
Max temperature.....65-69. 
Min humidity........18-23 percent. 
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds 4 to 8 mph shifting to the 
                    southeast 3 to 5 mph in the afternoon. 
Wind (20 ft)........ 
 Slope/valley.......Northeast winds 8 to 12 mph with gusts to 20 mph 
                    shifting to the southeast 5 to 10 mph in the 
                    afternoon. 
 Ridgetop...........Northeast winds 8 to 15 mph with gusts to 25 mph 
                    shifting to the southeast 8 to 15 mph in the 
                    afternoon. 
Mixing height.......1200 ft AGL increasing to 2500 ft AGL in the 
                    afternoon. 
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 mph becoming southeast 10 mph. 

$$
Forecaster...SMITH
Requested by...Joshua Thomas
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1819166.1/LOX
.DELDT 12/19/18
.EMAIL mmonge@fs.fed.us.gov