282 
FXUS62 KMLB 281344
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
944 AM EDT Fri Sep 28 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Hot and mostly dry forecast today as drier mid level air continues
to advect into the region from the east and ridge aloft remains 
extended across Florida, suppressing convective development. MOS 
guidance keeps rain chances out of the forecast for much of the 
area, but HRRR and local WRF continue to indicate a few showers 
and storms over the far interior as the sea breeze moves inland 
during the mid to late afternoon. Will therefore keep a slight 
chance of rain mentioned for these well inland areas, with a dry 
forecast for the remainder of east central Florida. Mostly to 
partly sunny skies and below normal convective coverage will again
lead to another hot day, with highs along the coast around 90 
degrees and low to mid 90s forecast for areas west of I-95. 
Forecast is on track with no changes planned. 

&&

.AVIATION...Mainly VFR. Any isolated showers/storms expected to
remain limited to areas near to west of KMCO from mid afternoon
through sunset. However, due to well below normal rain chances
today, will keep tempo groups or mention of VCSH/VCTS out of the 
far inland TAF sites for now. 

&&

.MARINE...SE winds will become E/SE into the afternoon as the sea
breeze develops and moves inland. Wind speeds will increase to
around 10 knots as the sea breeze forms, with seas ranging from
3-4 feet nearshore to 4-5 feet offshore in a ENE swell. 

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  91  75  89  76 /  10  10  10  20 
MCO  94  75  93  74 /  20  10  10  10 
MLB  91  79  89  78 /  10  10  10  20 
VRB  90  77  89  76 /  10  10  20  20 
LEE  94  76  94  75 /  20  10  10  10 
SFB  94  75  93  75 /  10  10  10  10 
ORL  94  77  93  75 /  10  10  10  10 
FPR  89  77  88  76 /  10  10  20  20 

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

Weitlich/Johnson/Smith