National Weather Service Raw Text Product

147 
FXUS63 KEAX 232328
AFDEAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
628 PM CDT Thu Aug 23 2018

.Discussion...
Issued at 403 PM CDT THU AUG 23 2018

|An upper level short wave is currently pushing east across Missouri 
and is producing a large area of showers and very isolated 
thunderstorms. The western half of the CWA has received the most 
rainfall so far today with amounts up to near an inch along the 
Kansas/Missouri state line. For the rest of the afternoon, showers 
will continue across the CWA's southern counties. For tonight 
ingredients are coming together to produce the next round of 
precipitation. An upper level trof will rotate out of the Dakotas 
and into the region. Meanwhile, a strong low level jet of 40-45kts 
will setup across Missouri and interact with a weak boundary to 
produce lift/instability need for thunderstorms primarily across 
the northern CWA. Although some thunderstorms in the northern 
counties will have the capability to produce heavy rainfall in 
isolated areas with totals between 1"-2", there is a possibility 
of localized flooding. That said, the threat of severe weather is 
low. So while some locations did not get wet this afternoon, there
is still a good chance for precipitation later tonight. Skies 
will begin to clear west to east tomorrow morning as the 
aforementioned upper level trof lifts into the Great Lakes. Upper 
level ridging will build into the area and temperatures will 
quickly rebound with Friday's highs near 90F. 

For the weekend, above normal temperatures will remind everyone that 
its still August with highs in the lower to mid 90s. By Sunday, 
the next system in the upper midwest will try to move south 
towards our area. However, the threat of precipitation will be 
minimal for the extreme northern counties of the CWA and mostly 
likely just increase clouds and perhaps lower high temperatures a 
little bit. The next chance of rainfall will not come until 
Tuesday as a weak cold front will attempt to push south into the 
CWA. |

&&

.Aviation...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Friday Evening)
Issued at 628 PM CDT THU AUG 23 2018

A few light rain showers and MVFR ceilings will push eastward into
the terminals over the next few hours, bringing currently VFR cigs
back to around 1900-2200 ft. These ceilings will gradually lift
tonight, but will likely linger in the MVFR category (possibly
wavering around the 2 kft threshold) through 06z-09z. Isolated
storms are still expected to develop after 04z tonight, but will
most likely be east of all terminals, and will continue to build
east with time. Clearing skies should develop along with south 
southwest winds by 12z Friday.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

$$

Discussion...32/Otto
Aviation...Laflin