AFOS product FWSFWD
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Displaying AFOS PIL: FWSFWD
Product Timestamp: 2018-07-03 21:57 UTC

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FNUS74 KFWD 032157
FWSFWD

Spot Forecast for 209 Fire...Bowman VFD
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
457 PM CDT Tue Jul 3 2018

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1700 CDT on July 03. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
With temperatures over 100 degrees, relative humidity values have
fallen to near 15 percent in Young County. The relative humidity 
will improve as temperatures gradually cool this evening, but will 
still remain below 30 percent until 10 or 11 pm. Haines index will
be high, meaning large plume dominated fires will be possible
through early evening. Winds will be from the south or southeast 
at 5 to 10 mph, but a few higher gusts will be possible. Moisture 
will increase tomorrow as a tropical system moves into the Texas 
coast, so daytime humidity should not fall as low as it did today.
However, the associated rainfall will likely remain well east and
south of Young County.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). 
Min temperature.....Around 75. 
Max humidity........74 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph. 
Haines Index........5 to 6 or high potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds up to 4 mph. 

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 
Sky (%).........11  12  11  10  9   9   8   8   7   5   4   7   
Weather cov.....                                                
Weather type....                                                
Tstm cov........                                                
Temp............101 99  98  95  92  89  86  84  82  80  78  78  
RH..............19  21  23  27  32  37  42  46  51  56  62  64  
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  
20 FT wind spd..8   7   7   6   6   7   8   8   7   6   5   5   
20 FT wind gust.                                                
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   3   3   3   3   
Eye lvl wnd gst.                                                
Haines index....6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). 
Max temperature.....Around 100. 
Min humidity........32 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 9 mph. 
Haines Index........5 to 6 or high potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Eye level winds.....East winds up to 5 mph. 

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
Sky (%).........9   12  17  22  27  32  37  42  43  45  46  47  
Weather cov.....                                                
Weather type....                                                
Tstm cov........                                                
Temp............76  75  78  82  86  91  95  97  99  100 99  98  
RH..............69  74  67  61  53  44  37  34  32  32  33  34  
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   8   8   9   
20 FT wind gust.                                            10  
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   
Eye lvl wnd spd.3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   5   
Eye lvl wnd gst.                                                
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   

$$
Forecaster...Ryan
Requested by...Richard Farmer
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1812320.0/FWD
.DELDT 07/03/18
.EMAIL rdfarmer11@gmail.com