086 
FXUS64 KSJT 202344
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
644 PM CDT Sun May 20 2018

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

Look for challenging flight weather to develop later tonight.
Stratus will again develop late tonight and create MVFR to IFR
ceilings. Plus, precipitation has increase surface moisture; thus,
watch for light fog to reduce the visibility slightly at some of
the terminals. Conditions should return to VFR by noon Monday.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 239 PM CDT Sun May 20 2018/ 

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Monday)

The majority of the shower and thunderstorm activity from earlier 
this morning has dissipated or moved out of the area. A few 
lingering showers may still be possible this afternoon across the 
Interstate 10 corridor. Then for this evening, conditions will 
finally dry out with minimal activity expected. Additional rain 
chances will return to the forecast for mid morning on Monday. 
Otherwise, temperatures will be a touch warmer for tomorrow in the 
mid 80s. Low temperatures for tonight should be in the mid 60s.

LONG TERM...
(Monday Night through next Sunday)

A trough over Southern California will continue to bring southwest
flow aloft over the region Monday Night/Tuesday Morning, and 
models show a short-wave trough moving up through northwest Texas
during that time. This short-wave will help spark convection
along and ahead of the dry-line in far west Texas Monday 
afternoon/evening, with the chance that some of those 
showers/thunderstorms could make it to our western counties late 
Monday night/early Tuesday morning, although chances appear slim 
at the moment. 

An upper level ridge will build over West Central Texas Tuesday
through Friday, bringing a warming trend and drier weather due to
increased subsidence, with just slight chances for showers over 
extreme western and northern portions of the forecast area. Highs 
on Tuesday in the upper 80s will increase to the upper 80s/low 90s
on Wednesday, then the low 90s on Thursday, mid 90s on Friday, and
up to the upper 90s on Saturday. Precipitation chances increase
Saturday night into Sunday as a weak cold front moves down from
the north. This cold front will only lower high temperatures a 
few degrees on Sunday. 

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene 	 64  86  66  89 /  10  20  10  20 
San Angelo 	 65  87  67  89 /  20  30  20  10 
Junction 	 66  87  67  89 /  20  30  10  10 
Brownwood 	 65  87  67  89 /  10  20  10  10 
Sweetwater 	 64  84  67  87 /  10  20  20  30 
Ozona      	 65  84  67  86 /  20  30  20  10 

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$