866 
FXUS64 KCRP 121529 AAB
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1029 AM CDT Sat May 12 2018

.DISCUSSION...

Minor adjustments to the grids in the first period, mainly winds 
and dew points. Observed winds are a bit higher than previously 
thought, so did increase the winds. This results in SCEC 
conditions over the southern bays and nearshore. That is about 
all that is needed at this time. 

&&

.MARINE...

As stated above, winds increase results in SCEC for the southern
bays/nearshore today. 

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... /Issued 629 AM CDT Sat May 12 2018/ 

DISCUSSION...See updated aviation discussion below. 

AVIATION...

Patchy fog observed from ALI-BEA will lift by mid morning. MVFR 
Ceilings will become VFR by late morning as daytime heating 
matures. Expect less wind today but still could observe occasional gusts
20-24 knots in the afternoon. Winds decouple after midnight tonight
and will allow for better chance for fog development with IFR
visibilities possible across inland airports.  

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... /Issued 339 AM CDT Sat May 12 2018/ 

SHORT TERM (Today through Sunday)...

Tranquil weather pattern will continue in the short term with mid
level ridge parked over South Texas. A little less wind today and
Sunday as pressure gradient weakens a bit. This will allow for 
max temps to nudge upward a degree or so but increases potential 
for overnight fog as well. Cannot rule out a stray shower in the 
coastal waters during morning hours due to speed/moisture 
convergence.

LONG TERM (Sunday Night through Friday)...

Continuation of a dry and warm forecast across South Texas through 
most of next week, as the area remains under the influence of an 
upper level ridge to our west and a trough over the eastern Gulf of 
Mexico. Although can't rule out a few showers to develop across our 
west and over the waters early next week, best chances for rain 
appear to be Wednesday through early Thursday, as a short wave makes 
its way across our CWA. At this time went only with conservative 20 
PoPs across our western counties. The ridge builds back up by the 
end of next week, and therefore kept the rest of the period dry. 
Temperatures will continue to be above normal through the end of the 
week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    88  73  89  73  89  /  10  10  10  10  10 
Victoria          91  71  90  71  91  /  10  10  10  10  10 
Laredo            97  74  96  75  95  /   0   0  10  10  10 
Alice             93  71  93  71  94  /  10  10  10  10  10 
Rockport          86  73  86  75  86  /  10  10  10  10  10 
Cotulla           96  72  95  73  95  /   0   0  10  10  10 
Kingsville        92  73  92  72  93  /  10  10  10  10  10 
Navy Corpus       88  77  87  76  87  /  10  10  10  10  10 

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$

GW/86...SHORT TERM