986 
FNUS71 KRLX 201032
FWSRLX

Spot Forecast for Pine Creek...USDA Wayne NF
National Weather Service Charleston WV
632 AM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on April 20. 
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A high pressure system will provide dry weather through the 
weekend, with temperatures gradually moderating. 

With a storm system lurking to our south, high clouds will be 
present starting Saturday, and eventually rain showers move in from 
the south to start the work week. Current timing of showers is 
beginning Monday afternoon or evening. Confidence is medium, but 
timing could easily shift by 6 to 12 hours. 

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent). 
CWR.................0 percent. 
Chance of pcpn......0 percent. 
Max temperature.....Around 59. 
Min humidity........25 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the 
                    afternoon. 
Mixing height.......2300-4200 ft AGL increasing to 4300 ft AGL late 
                    in the afternoon. 
Transport winds.....North 5 to 7 mph. 
Haines Index........3 to 4 OR or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for 
                    large plume dominated fire growth. 

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
Sky (%).........0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   
Weather cov.....                                
Weather type....                                
Tstm cov........                                
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   
Temp............44  48  52  54  56  57  58  58  
RH..............53  41  37  32  29  27  25  25  
20 FT wind dir..NE  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   
20 FT wind spd..2   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   
20 FT wind gust.5   6   8   8   8   8   8   8   
Mix hgt (kft)...2.3 3.2 3.6 3.9 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.3 
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   
Transp wind spd.5   7   7   7   6   6   7   7   
Haines index....3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent). 
CWR.................0 percent. 
Chance of pcpn......0 percent. 
Min temperature.....Around 33. 
Max humidity........75 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph early in the evening 
                    becoming light. 
Mixing height.......2800-4400 ft AGL decreasing to 0-1400 ft AGL in 
                    the late evening and overnight. 
Transport winds.....Northeast 1 to 8 mph. 
Haines Index........3 to 4 OR or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for 
                    large plume dominated fire growth. 

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 
Sky (%).........0   0   0   0   0   0   3   7   10  10  10  11  
Weather cov.....                                                
Weather type....                                                
Tstm cov........                                                
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   
Temp............56  54  52  45  42  40  39  38  37  36  35  35  
RH..............28  31  36  48  58  64  66  66  69  72  72  68  
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  
20 FT wind spd..5   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   
20 FT wind gust.8   5   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   
Mix hgt (kft)...4.4 4.4 4.0 2.8 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   6   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). 
CWR.................0 percent. 
Chance of pcpn......0 percent. 
Max temperature.....Around 64. 
Min humidity........21 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. 
Mixing height.......100-1800 ft AGL increasing to 2500-3200 ft AGL 
                    late in the morning. 
Transport winds.....Northeast 1 to 7 mph. 
Haines Index........2 to 5 OR or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential 
                    for large plume dominated fire growth. 

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
Sky (%).........11  11  11  12  15  16  20  28  32  35  43  47  
Weather cov.....                                                
Weather type....                                                
Tstm cov........                                                
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   
Temp............34  34  37  41  44  51  54  57  59  61  63  64  
RH..............72  75  67  56  53  41  35  29  25  23  22  21  
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   2   3   3   3   2   2   2   3   3   
20 FT wind gust.2   2   2       4   4   4               4   4   
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.8 2.5 2.8 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  
Transp wind spd.1   1   1   2   3   5   5   5   5   5   6   7   
Haines index....2   2   2   3   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   

$$
Forecaster...RPY
Requested by...Mike Ortner
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1807048.1/RLX