466 
FNUS74 KMOB 161149
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for BRB10...USFS Conecuh NF
National Weather Service Mobile AL
549 AM CST Tue Jan 16 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CST on January 16. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National
Weather Service.

.DISCUSSION...An approaching cold front will move southeast
across the area today, bringing moderate northerly winds in
the mixing layer. Light snow will accompany the front tonight,
but snowfall total are expected to be less than an inch. 

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent) then becoming 
                    cloudy (85-95 percent). 
Chance of pcpn......10 percent. 
LAL.................No Tstms. 
Max temperature.....Around 57. 
Min humidity........49 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest around 4 mph becoming north around
                    9 mph by late in the afternoon. 
Mixing height.......Increasing to 3400 ft AGL by noon.
Transport winds.....South around 6 mph becoming north around 15
                    mph by late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....Increasing to 35. 
LVORI...............2. 
Stability class.....3. 

TIME (CST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
Sky (%).........38  49  61  67  70  75  80  85  90  
Weather cov.....                                    
Weather type....                                    
Tstm cov........                                    
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   
Temp............48  50  53  55  54  52  51  48  46  
RH..............55  53  50  49  50  51  52  56  60  
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  N   
20 FT wind spd..3   4   4   5   6   6   7   8   9   
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   10  10  10  10  15  15  
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 1.8 2.6 3.4 3.2 2.9 2.7 2.7 2.7 
Transp wind dir.S   S   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  N   
Transp wind spd.5   6   8   9   10  10  12  14  15  
Dispersion idx..7   14  23  26  25  25  26  31  35  
LVORI...........3   2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of 
                    rain and snow early in the evening, then chance 
                    of snow in the late evening and overnight. 
Chance of pcpn......40 percent. 
LAL.................No Tstms. 
Min temperature.....Around 22. 
Max humidity........75 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 8 to 10 mph. 
Mixing height.......1700-2000 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....North 17 to 21 mph. 
Dispersion index....23. 
LVORI...............3. 
Stability class.....3. 

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 
Sky (%).........92  93  94  95  96  97  97  93  84  75  66  57  
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC 
Weather type....RS  RS  RS  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  
Tstm cov........                                                
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  40  40  40  30  30  30  30  30  30  
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   
Temp............43  41  39  37  35  33  31  30  28  27  25  24  
RH..............65  66  68  70  71  73  75  74  73  71  71  71  
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   
20 FT wind spd..9   9   10  10  10  10  10  10  9   9   8   8   
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 2.0 1.9 1.8 
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   
Transp wind spd.17  18  18  18  18  20  20  20  21  21  20  20  
Dispersion idx..20  21  21  22  22  23  23  23  24  25  23  22  
LVORI...........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). 
Chance of pcpn......0 percent. 
LAL.................No Tstms. 
Max temperature.....Around 36. 
Min humidity........27 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 6 to 12 mph. 
Mixing height.......1800-3700 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....North 15 to 21 mph. 
Dispersion index....46 increasing to 58 late in the morning, then 
                    increasing to 70 in the afternoon decreasing to 
                    62 late in the afternoon. 
LVORI...............2. 
Stability class.....3. 

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
Sky (%).........52  40  15  2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   
Weather cov.....                                                
Weather type....                                                
Tstm cov........                                                
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   
Temp............22  22  22  24  26  29  32  35  36  36  34  30  
RH..............71  64  57  47  42  36  31  28  27  27  31  38  
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   
20 FT wind spd..8   8   9   10  10  11  11  10  9   8   7   6   
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10  
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.6 3.0 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.7 3.7 
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   
Transp wind spd.18  18  20  20  20  21  21  21  21  20  17  15  
Dispersion idx..42  47  49  50  54  58  62  67  72  72  72  62  
LVORI...........2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   

$$
Forecaster...22
Requested by...Mary Owen
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1800395.0/MOB
.EMAIL maowen@fs.fed.us