National Weather Service Text Product
AFOS product FWSMHX
Dates interpreted at 00:00 UTCDisplaying AFOS PIL: FWSMHX
Product Timestamp: 2017-12-04 13:26 UTC
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623
FNUS72 KMHX 041326
FWSMHX
Spot Forecast for jones...USFWS
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
826 AM EST Mon Dec 4 2017
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EST on December 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will continue to extend down from the north today
then move offshore tonight. A strong cold front will approach
from the west Tuesday night then cross the region Wednesday. The
front will stall southeast of the area Thursday and Friday as
cold high pressure builds over the Western Carolinas. Low
pressure could form along the front and bring rain to the region
late in the week.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......Max 3300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 3 to 9 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 28519 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 6.
ADI.................Max 29.
Haines index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.29 to 30.37 inHg.
TIME (EST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)............23 23 24 24 24 24 24 24 25
Weather cov........
Weather type.......
Tstm cov...........
Temp...............51 55 57 60 62 63 63 62 60
RH.................80 72 67 60 54 54 54 58 62
20 FT wind dir.....NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E
20 FT wind spd.....5 6 6 7 7 7 6 6 6
20 FT wind gust.... 10 10 10
Mix hgt (kft)......1.3 1.9 2.3 2.8 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.2 2.2
Transp wind dir....N N N NE NE E E E E
Transp wind spd....3 3 5 7 8 9 9 8 7
LVORI..............4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2
ADI................6 8 13 20 27 29 29 27 18
Haines index.......4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5
VRate mph-ft/1000..4 6 11 19 27 29 28 26 15
Stability class....F F F C C C C C C
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy, then becoming mostly cloudy. A
slight chance of showers in the late evening
and overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......Min 300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 3 to 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Min 804 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 9.
ADI.................Min 1.
Haines index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.28 to 30.34 inHg.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)............27 28 32 41 45 49 55 59 60 63 65 64
Weather cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov...........
Temp...............58 56 55 54 54 53 53 53 52 52 52 51
RH.................69 74 80 83 83 86 86 86 89 93 96 100
20 FT wind dir.....E E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd.....5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5
20 FT wind gust.... 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
Mix hgt (kft)......1.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir....E E E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE
Transp wind spd....5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
LVORI..............3 3 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 8 9
ADI................2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
Haines index.......5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3
VRate mph-ft/1000..6 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Stability class....C C C B B B F F F F E E
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. A slight chance of showers in the
morning, then a chance of showers in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......Max 2900 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 3 to 12 mph, increasing to south 15
to 23 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Max 67620 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 9.
ADI.................Max 54.
Haines index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.09 to 30.28 inHg.
TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%)............64 65 69 68 68 71
Weather cov........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type.......RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov...........
Temp...............51 54 61 67 69 68
RH.................100 100 89 76 73 78
20 ft wind.........SE 6 S 7 S 8 S 10 S 11 S 10
20 ft wind gust.... 10 10 15 15 15
Mix hgt (ft).......300 300 300 2000 2700 2400
Transport wind.....SE 3 SE 8 S 16 S 22 S 22 S 16
LVORI..............9 8 4 3 3 3
ADI................4 9 18 43 49 34
Haines index.......3 3 3 3 3 3
VRate mph-ft/1000..1 2 4 45 59 38
Stability class....E E E C C C
$$
Forecaster...Heden
Requested by...Gregg Buckalew
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1719578.0/MHX
.EMAIL gregg_buckalew@fws.gov