506 
FNUS75 KREV 051136
FWSREV

Spot Forecast for Aspen Burn PT21...USFS
National Weather Service Reno NV
500 AM PDT Sun Nov 5 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 PDT on November 05. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National
Weather Service in Reno.

.DISCUSSION...

A weak storm will move across northeast California and northern
Nevada with most of the showers staying north of the burn site.
Gusty winds will preceded this system today before diminishing
tonight and Monday. Poor mixing and ventilation Tuesday will be
followed by another moderate storm Wednesday through Friday.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy with a few flurries.  
Temperature.........30 at ignition...Max 41. 
RH..................77% at ignition...Min 58%. 
20-Foot Winds.......Winds south-southwest at 14 mph at ignition...
                     otherwise south-southwest winds 12-17 mph 
                     with gusts to 25 mph. 
LAL.................1. 
Chc Wetting Rain....0%. 
Mixing Height.......9500-10000 ft MSL. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 22-27 mph. 
Ventilation.........Good to excellent. 
Haines Index........Max 2. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy with a few flurries 
Temperature.........Min 27. 
RH..................Max 90%. 
20-Foot Winds.......South-southwest winds 10-15 mph with gusts to
                     25 mph in the evening then south 5-10 mph 
                     after midnight.  
LAL.................1. 
Chc Wetting Rain....0%. 
Mixing Height.......8500-9000 ft MSL decreasing to 7000-7500 ft
                     MSL overnight. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15-20 mph decreasing to southwest
                     10-15 mph overnight. 
Ventilation.........Fair to good. 
Haines Index........2. 

.MONDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. A few flurries in the afternoon. 
Temperature.........Max 42. 
RH..................Min 52%. 
20-Foot Winds.......South to southwest winds around 10 mph. 
LAL.................1. 
Chc Wetting Rain....0%. 
Mixing Height.......7000-7500 ft MSL increasing to 10000-10500 ft 
                     MSL in the afternoon. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15-25 mph. 
Ventilation.........Fair increasing to very good in the afternoon. 
Haines Index........2. 

$$ 

Forecaster...Hohmann/Hoon
Requested by...Brian Etheridge 
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1718380.1/REV
.EMAIL betheridge@fs.fed.us