087 
FXUS64 KLIX 182046
AFDLIX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
346 PM CDT Mon Sep 18 2017

.SYNOPSIS...

Upper and surface ridging remains over the area. Convection has
remained rather isolated today, with almost no precipitation south
of Interstate 10. Temperatures away from convection have generally
topped out around 90 or 91. Dew points have taken a brief drop to
the upper 60s and lower 70s, but these are likely to recover
around sunset.

&&

.SHORT TERM...

No real changes made to forecast scenario. Moisture availability
based on BUFR soundings appears to be highest tomorrow into
Wednesday...around 1.8 to 2 inches, so POPs tomorrow and 
Wednesday will be a bit higher than today or Thursday. Little day 
to day change in temperatures other than the potential for an 
untimely shower or storm busting the high temperature in a few 
places. 35

&& 

.LONG TERM...
 
A bit of a weakness in the upper pattern may allow a little better
chance of convection going into the weekend, but even then, don't
see much more than 50 percent POP being needed, drifting back down
to the 30-40 percent range for Saturday through Monday for much of
the area. No real big temperature changes again, could be a degree
or two lower than this week. 35

&&

.AVIATION...

Rather isolated coverage on radar this afternoon with VCSH near KGPT 
and KMCB at this time. Thunder has been difficult to come by today 
so SHRA most likely form of convection through 00Z. Some patchy fog 
still possible late tonight and early Tue morning, then VFR 
conditions thereafter. 24/RR

&&

.MARINE...

A persistence of weak high pressure over the north-central Gulf of 
Mexico to maintain relatively light winds and low seas this week but 
become more moderate easterly over the weekend. 24/RR

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...

DSS code: Green.
Deployed: None.
Activation: None.
Activities: None.
   
Decision Support Services (DSS) Code Legend 
Green  = No weather impacts that require action.
Blue   = Long-fused watch, warning, or advisory in effect or
         high visibility event.
Yellow = Heightened impacts with short-fused watch, warning or 
         advisory issuances; radar support.
Orange = High Impacts; Slight to Moderate risk severe; nearby tropical
         events; HazMat or other large episodes.
Red    = Full engagement for Moderate risk of severe and/or    
         direct tropical threats; Events of National Significance.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  71  90  70  91 /  30  40  20  40 
BTR  72  92  72  92 /  30  40  20  40 
ASD  71  91  72  91 /  30  40  10  30 
MSY  74  90  74  90 /  30  40  10  30 
GPT  73  89  73  89 /  20  40  10  30 
PQL  71  90  70  89 /  20  40  10  40 

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
GM...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$