540 
FXUS63 KICT 050815
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
315 AM CDT Wed Jul 5 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Friday night)
Issued at 315 AM CDT Wed Jul 5 2017

Today:
A weak mid-level low is centered over extreme Southeast MO early
this morning. The low will continue to drive through a school zone
as it crosses Southern MO today, then transition into a mid-level
trof when it reaches the mid-MS Valley tonight. With its surface
counterpart likewise drifting east, a few light showers that will
wrap around the low may clip far Southeast KS until late this 
afternoon.

Tonight:
The only change was introduce patchy fog to Southeast KS toward
morning where/when a weak surface high would be centered across
Eastern KS. The nearly calm wind & soaked ground would promote fog
formation. Moisture depth is shallow which SHOULD prevent the fog
from getting dense.

Thu & Thu Night:
It'll be dry across the KS Neighborhood as a strong, massive mid
to upper high drifts east toward the Rockies. Thu will be the
hottest day for the rest of the week.

Fri & Fri Night:
A deep & broad cyclone centered over Hudson Bay/Northern Ontario
will ship a fairly sharp shortwave SE across the Great Lakes. This
would send a weak cold front S/SE with the front (which is more
like a surface trof) into KS. Enough moisture would be present to
'spark' a few thunderstorms across KICT Country both periods. The
thunderstorms should generally behave, but a few may be strong.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Tuesday)
Issued at 313 AM CDT Wed Jul 5 2017

This Weekend:
With the afore-mentioned cyclone sending periodic, albeit weak,
shortwaves SE from the Northern Plains to the MS Valley & ample
moisture in place isolated/widely scattered thunderstorms will pop
up over the weekend.

Mon-Tue:
It'll be hot & dry as S-SW lower-deck flow prevails.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday night)
Issued at 1138 PM CDT Tue Jul 4 2017

Scattered, lingering light rain showers are expected tonight into
perhaps Wednesday over far southeastern Kansas. Areas of MVFR/IFR
ceilings/visibilities are likely at the CNU terminal overnight
into Wednesday morning, where cyclonic low-level curvature in the
height fields and a moistened boundary layer is indicated. 
Otherwise; dry weather, light winds and VFR conditions are 
expected to prevail elsewhere in central/south-central Kansas.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    88  68  93  71 /   0   0   0   0 
Hutchinson      89  67  95  70 /   0   0   0   0 
Newton          87  67  93  70 /   0   0   0   0 
ElDorado        85  66  90  69 /  10   0   0   0 
Winfield-KWLD   87  67  91  70 /  10   0   0   0 
Russell         91  67  98  69 /   0   0   0  10 
Great Bend      90  67  96  69 /   0   0   0  10 
Salina          91  68  98  71 /   0   0   0  10 
McPherson       89  67  95  70 /   0   0   0   0 
Coffeyville     83  66  90  69 /  20  10   0   0 
Chanute         83  66  90  69 /  20  10   0   0 
Iola            83  65  90  69 /  20  10   0   0 
Parsons-KPPF    83  66  90  69 /  20  10   0   0 

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...EPS
LONG TERM...EPS
AVIATION...JMC