AFOS product FWSMOB
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Displaying AFOS PIL: FWSMOB
Product Timestamp: 2017-06-12 14:05 UTC

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FNUS74 KMOB 121405
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Eglin burn 6/12/17...FFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
905 AM CDT Mon Jun 12 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on June 12. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...An unsettled weather pattern continues the next couple 
days, with scattered showers and thunderstorms developing along the 
coast each morning and advancing inland each afternoon and evening. 
Light mixed layer flow results in fair daily dispersions and RH values
remain well above critical thresholds.

Fog Potential And Other Remarks...Patchy late night and early morning
fog possible, especially in areas that receive rain from afternoon and
evening showers and thunderstorms.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of 
                    showers and thunderstorms. 
Chance of pcpn......50 percent. 
LAL.................9-15 strikes. 
Max temperature.....Around 84. 
Min humidity........70 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic 
                    winds expected near thunderstorms. 
Mixing height.......3200-4100 ft AGL. 
Mixing height (m)...975-1250 meters AGL. 
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph. 
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 4 to 5 meters/second. 
Dispersion index....28. 
LVORI...............3. 
Stability class.....3. 

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
Sky (%).........83  82  80  79  79  79  79  78  
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC 
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC 
Chc of pcpn (%).40  40  40  50  50  50  50  50  
LAL.............3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   
Temp............83  84  84  83  83  83  83  83  
RH..............72  70  70  72  72  72  72  72  
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  
20 FT wind spd..7   7   8   8   8   8   7   7   
20 FT wind gust.10  10  15  15  15  15  10  10  
Mix hgt (kft)...3.2 3.5 3.8 4.1 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.7 
Mix hgt (km)....1.0 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  
Transp wind spd.10  10  9   9   10  12  12  12  
Trans wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  
Trans spd (m/s).4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   
Dispersion idx..25  25  25  25  28  30  31  29  
LVORI...........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of 
                    showers and thunderstorms. 
Chance of pcpn......50 percent. 
LAL.................9-15 strikes. 
Min temperature.....Around 72. 
Max humidity........100 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening 
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds 
                    expected near thunderstorms. 
Mixing height.......2300-3700 ft AGL decreasing to 700-1400 ft AGL 
                    early in the evening. 
Mixing height (m)...701-1128 meters AGL decreasing to 213-427 
                    meters AGL early in the evening. 
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph. 
Transport winds m/s.East 2 to 4 meters/second. 
Dispersion index....25 decreasing to 7. 
LVORI...............6. 
Stability class.....4. 

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 
Sky (%).........78  78  77  74  73  72  69  68  70  74  76  78  
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC 
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC 
Chc of pcpn (%).50  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  
LAL.............3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   
Temp............82  81  80  78  77  76  76  75  74  73  72  72  
RH..............74  77  79  85  87  90  90  90  97  100 100 100 
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   
20 FT wind spd..6   6   5   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   
Mix hgt (kft)...3.7 2.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.8 
Mix hgt (km)....1.1 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   
Transp wind spd.10  9   8   7   6   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   
Trans wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   
Trans spd (m/s).4   4   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   
Dispersion idx..25  9   8   6   5   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   
LVORI...........3   4   4   5   5   6   6   7   7   8   8   8   

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of 
                    showers and thunderstorms. 
Chance of pcpn......50 percent. 
LAL.................9-15 strikes. 
Max temperature.....Around 87. 
Min humidity........65 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph early 
                    in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds 
                    expected near thunderstorms. 
Mixing height.......900-2400 ft AGL increasing to 3100-4300 ft AGL 
                    in the late morning and afternoon. 
Mixing height (m)...274-732 meters AGL increasing to 945-1311 
                    meters AGL in the late morning and afternoon. 
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 9 mph. 
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 3 to 4 meters/second. 
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 20 early in the morning. 
LVORI...............6. 
Stability class.....3. 

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
Sky (%).........82  84  84  85  86  86  87  87  87  86  86  85  
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC 
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC 
Chc of pcpn (%).30  40  40  40  40  40  40  50  50  50  50  50  
LAL.............3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   
Temp............74  75  77  80  83  85  86  86  86  86  85  85  
RH..............97  94  87  79  72  67  65  65  65  65  67  67  
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  
20 FT wind spd..4   4   5   5   6   6   7   7   7   6   6   5   
20 FT wind gust.5   5       10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 1.0 1.7 2.4 3.1 3.5 3.9 4.3 4.2 4.1 4.0 4.0 
Mix hgt (km)....0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   7   8   8   8   8   8   9   9   9   
Trans wind dir..NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  
Trans spd (m/s).3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   
Dispersion idx..6   12  16  19  21  20  20  21  21  22  24  23  
LVORI...........8   6   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   

$$
Forecaster...49
Requested by...J Herndon
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1711015.0/MOB
.EMAIL john.herndon@freshfromflorida.com