125 
FXUS65 KLKN 082202
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
302 PM PDT Mon May 8 2017

.SYNOPSIS...The large upper-level low to the south will begin a
slow departing track away from Nevada tonight as a ridge builds 
in. Showers and thunderstorms over central and eastern Nevada this
afternoon will diminish by evening. Besides some showers in 
southeastern Nevada the next couple of days, drier conditions and
warmer temperatures will prevail Tuesday through Thursday.


&&

.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Thursday

Showers this morning in White Pine and Nye counties have tapered 
off some early this afternoon. A couple of thunderstorms rolled 
through Nye county before noon and Tonopah added about another 
third of an inch of rain to yesterday's record rainfall. 
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be increasing in coverage
as the afternoon wears on in a line from Elko County 
southwestward through Nye County and then areas eastward from the 
line. These will be diminishing towards sunset similar to what 
has occurred the past few days.

The closed low south of us is expected to move slowly ENE into 
southern Arizona through Tuesday and then into New Mexico on 
Wednesday as a ridge wedges its way into California and Nevada, 
sandwiched in between the closed low and a deep low dropping down 
from off the BC coast. There may still be a few showers in the 
southeastern portions of Nye and White Pine Counties Tuesday and
Wednesday as wrap around moisture rotates through the departing 
low to the south. Otherwise, mostly clear skies and warmer 
temperatures will be in store for Nevada under the ridge. 
Tuesday's highs will warm to the 65-75 degree range and Wednesday 
75-80 degrees. Lows expected to be in the mid 30's to the lower 
40's.


On Thursday southwest flow will begin to push into our western
counties as the Pacific low approaches and stronger winds push 
into western portions of Humboldt county. One final day of
warming expected before cooling begins and highs push into the
lower 80's for the warmest valleys. Wednesday night's lows will 
be 45-50 degrees.



.LONG TERM...Thursday night through next Monday. Not expecting
much in the way of weather for the rest of the week or the
upcoming weekend. Low pressure will circulate around the Pacific
northwest region through early next week. There will be some
unstable air across northern Nevada each day however little
precipitation is expected. Winds will be off and on breezy as each
shortwave impulse emanating from the central circulation
penetrates the LKN CWFA.

&&

AVIATION...As low pressure moves south of Nevada, showers may
impact KELY and KTPH through Tuesday afternoon, with an 
occasional thunderstorm bringing CIGS and VIS down. VFR conditions
are expected at KWMC and KEKO through Tuesday afternoon. 


&&

.HYDROLOGY...Higher elevation snow melt is increasing and in 
general, river and creek levels are rising. Warming temperatures
through the remainder of the week could lead to several flooding 
issues. Here are the locations where flood warnings are currently 
in effect and streams in action stage:

Humboldt River - Comus, near Winnemucca: Minor flooding 
continues. Product created via Riverpro.

Bruneau River - near Rowland: Moderate flooding. The river
is fairly steady in the moderate stage. Product via Warngen.

Mary's River - near Deeth. River continues to rise with minor 
flooding expected through the week. Product created via Riverpro.

The following rivers and creeks are not in flood but are being
monitored closely:

Jarbidge River - below Jarbidge: Below flood stage but remains in
action stage. Product via Warngen.

Humboldt River - Battle Mountain. The river may experience 
another rise later this week but remains below flood stage. 
Product created via Riverpro.

Lamoille Creek - Lamoille: Snow-melt is increasing and there is 
potential for flooding as temperatures rise Tuesday through 
Thursday. Product created via Riverpro.

Martin Creek - near Paradise Valley. Creek will remain at action
stage for the next few days. Product created via Riverpro.

Salmon Falls Creek near San Jacinto, including Jackpot - Creek 
has recently entered action stage, but is below flood stage. 
Official forecasts are not available for this site. Product
created via Riverpro.

Owyhee River - near Mountain City. Minor flooding is possible by
the end of this week. Product created via Riverpro.

Wildhorse Dam - at Wildhorse. Water level is at its highest since
2011, surpassing the seasonal high up until now on April 27.
Product created via Riverpro.


&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

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