AFOS product FWSCAE
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Displaying AFOS PIL: FWSCAE
Product Timestamp: 2017-02-14 12:51 UTC

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FNUS72 KCAE 141251
FWSCAE

Spot Forecast for FTG TA14...Department Of Defense
National Weather Service Columbia SC
751 AM EST Tue Feb 14 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EST on February 14. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Positive or negative feedback including observations taken at
the burn site would be greatly appreciated. You can use the same
webpage where you requested the spot forecast for this. You may
also call our office if you have questions or concerns.

.DISCUSSION...High pressure will be moving off the Southeast 
Coast today. Surface winds will be light and variable this morning 
under a surface inversion. Models suggest the inversion will 
break around 10 am with winds becoming SW. SW surface winds will 
continue through the day with values from 5 to 10 mph in the 
afternoon. RH values will be a little higher today, with minimum 
values around 30 percent, given SW flow. SW transport winds will 
range from 15 to 20 mph.

The Hysplit model suggests SW winds from the spot location will 
create a dispersion trajectory just north of Augusta, near 
Martinez.

Mixing heights will be generally be 3000 to 4000 ft agl during 
the afternoon. An inversion will set up around sunset this
evening, with no fog expected tonight.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). 
Chance of pcpn......0 percent. 
LAL.................No Tstms. 
Max temperature.....Around 72. 
Min humidity........34 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds...becoming southwest 5 
                    to 7 mph in the late morning and afternoon. 
Mixing height.......100-1600 ft AGL...increasing to 2400-4200 ft 
                    AGL late in the morning. 
Transport winds.....South 3 to 12 mph...becoming southwest 13 to 17 
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon. 
LVORI...............3. 
ADI.................8...increasing to 28 late in the morning...then 
                    increasing to 42 late in the 
                    morning...increasing to 54 early in the 
                    afternoon...increasing to 67...decreasing to 57 
                    late...decreasing to 41. 

TIME (EST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
Sky (%).........6   3   1   3   5   17  19  25  27  31  
Weather cov.....                                        
Weather type....                                        
Tstm cov........                                        
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   
Temp............43  51  58  63  66  68  70  71  71  69  
RH..............82  65  53  46  38  36  34  34  35  40  
20 FT wind dir..S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  
20 FT wind dir..180 200 210 210 220 220 220 230 230 230 
20 FT wind spd..3   4   5   6   6   7   7   7   6   6   
20 FT wind gust.5   5       10  10  15  15  10  10  10  
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.9 1.6 2.4 3.2 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.2 3.0 
Transp wind dir.SE  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  
Transp wind spd.7   12  14  15  16  17  17  16  15  13  
LVORI...........3   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   
ADI.............7   12  28  42  54  65  69  65  57  41  
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent)...then becoming 
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). A slight chance 
                    of showers late. A chance of showers late. 
Chance of pcpn......40 percent. 
LAL.................No Tstms. 
Min temperature.....Around 52. 
Max humidity........93 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph early in the 
                    evening...becoming light and variable...then 
                    becoming southwest 5 to 6 mph late. 
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 8 mph. 
LVORI...............4. 
ADI.................4. 

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   
Sky (%).........37     43     52     68     77     90     
Weather cov.....                                   CHANCE 
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR 
Tstm cov........                                          
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      10     10     10     30     
Temp............65     61     58     56     54     52     
RH..............47     61     69     72     80     93     
20 ft wind......SW 5   SW 3   SW 3   SW 4   SW 4   SW 5   
20 ft wind gust.       5      5      5      5             
Mix hgt (ft)....800    300    300    300    300    300    
Transport wind..SW 8   S 5    S 5    SW 6   SW 6   SW 7   
LVORI...........2      3      3      3      5      6      
ADI.............4      2      2      4      4      5      
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1      

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Showers until 
                    late afternoon. A slight chance of 
                    thunderstorms. A chance of showers late. 
Chance of pcpn......80 percent. 
LAL.................No Tstms until 0700...then 9-15 strikes until 
                    1700...then No Tstms. 
Max temperature.....Around 64. 
Min humidity........58 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph with gusts up to 20 
                    mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near 
                    thunderstorms. 
Mixing height.......400-2300 ft AGL...increasing to 2100-2400 ft 
                    AGL late. 
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 17 mph...becoming northwest 16 
                    to 25 mph in the late morning and afternoon. 
LVORI...............3. 
ADI.................12...increasing to 21 late in the 
                    morning...then increasing to 35 late in the 
                    morning...increasing to 46 early in the 
                    afternoon...decreasing to 40...decreasing to 32 
                    late. 

TIME (EST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM      
Sky (%).........95        100       93        77        
Weather cov.....LIKELY    DEFNTE    DEFNTE    CHANCE    
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    
Tstm cov........S CHC     S CHC     S CHC     S CHC     
Chc of pcpn (%).70        80        80        50        
Temp............52        55        61        64        
RH..............93        100       84        63        
20 FT wind......SW 6G10   SW 8G15   W 11G20   NW 11G20  
Mix hgt (ft)....400       900       1700      2400      
Transport wind..SW 9      SW 17     W 20      NW 17     
LVORI...........5         5         4         1         
ADI.............10        21        34        37        
LAL.............1         3         3         3         

$$
Forecaster...Rohrbach
Requested by...Allen Braswell
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1701989.1/CAE