540 
FNUS73 KLSX 011324
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR OAK RIDGE BURN UNIT...MO DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAINT LOUIS MO
724 AM CST WED FEB 1 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 01. 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD INTO THE REGION TODAY
AND THURSDAY...PROVIDING DRY WEATHER AND TEMPERATURES THAT ARE 
EXPECTED TO SLIP BACK TO SEASONAL ON THURSDAY. 


.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). 
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. 
TEMPERATURE.........41 AT IGNITION...MAX 48. 
RH..................59 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 39 PERCENT. 
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 6 MPH AT 
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. 
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WIND AT 2 MPH USING A 0.3 ADJUSTMENT FACTOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...4100 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH. 
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5110 M/S-M) AT MAX HEATING. 

TIME (CST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM   
SKY (%).........67     62     46     34     27     29     
WEATHER COV.....                                          
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   
TSTM COV........                                          
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0      
TEMP............41     44     48     47     41     36     
RH..............59     53     46     45     55     64     
20 FT WIND......NE 6   N 6    N 7    N 6    N 4    N 5    
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     5             

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). 
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. 
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 24. 
RH..................MAX 83 PERCENT. 
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE 
                    EVENING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WIND AT 2 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........N/A. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....N/A. 
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....N/A. 

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). 
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. 
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 37. 
RH..................MIN 35 PERCENT. 
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH DURING 
                    MID AND LATE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN 
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. 
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WIND AT 2 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH. 
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5060 M/S-M) AT MAX HEATING. 

$$

FORECASTER...TES
REQUESTED BY...ERIK OTTO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1701256.0/LSX