912 
FNUS74 KSHV 120818
FWSSHV

SPOT FORECAST FOR CONNOR TRACT RX BURN...TEXAS A&M FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
218 AM CST THU JAN 12 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON JANUARY 12. 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (318) 631-3669 EXT. 241, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.

.DISCUSSION...
SLIGHTLY BREEZY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 20-FOOT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 
10-15 MPH EARLY THIS MORNING WILL DECLINE TO/BELOW 10 MPH BY MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON TODAY. MAY SEE INTERMITTENT DRIZZLE OR LIGHT RAIN FALL FROM THE 
LOW CLOUD COVER THIS MORNING WITH PERHAPS A CHANCE FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
AS A COLD FRONT NEARS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. THE COLD FRONT IS ANTICIPATED
TO REMAIN JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA THOUGH COULD SEE 20-FOOT WINDS BECOME
VARIABLE BEFORE RETURNING TO THE SOUTHEAST AT 5-10 MPH. THEREAFTER...AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BE SLOWLY NEARING THE AREA LEADING
TO INCREASED CHANCES FOR MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL TOMORROW THROUGH
MARTIN LUTHER KING JR DAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE POISED TO NOT
DROP MUCH BELOW 60 PERCENT DURING PEAK HEATING WITH EXCELLENT OVERNIGHT
RECOVERIES IN THE 80-100 PERCENT RANGE. 

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF 
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78. 
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT. 
WIND (20 FT)........ 
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC 
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-3500 FT AGL 
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 28 TO 31 MPH. 

TIME (CST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
SKY (%).........85  86  86  86  87  87  87  85  85  85  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC 
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  
TSTM COV........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO 
TEMP............66  67  70  72  74  75  76  77  76  75  
RH..............88  83  76  71  67  64  62  60  61  61  
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   
20 FT WIND SPD..8   8   8   8   8   9   9   9   8   6   
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  20  20  20  15  10  

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF 
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61. 
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT. 
WIND (20 FT)........ 
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS 
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-800 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 17 MPH. 

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 
SKY (%).........83  83  83  80  80  80  77  77  77  77  77  77  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC 
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  
TSTM COV........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO 
TEMP............73  70  69  68  67  66  66  65  64  64  63  63  
RH..............66  73  73  76  78  77  79  81  86  87  89  90  
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   
20 FT WIND SPD..6   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   3   3   4   
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5   

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF 
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. 
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT. 
WIND (20 FT)........ 
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC 
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2300 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 17 TO 20 MPH. 

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
SKY (%).........77  77  77  81  81  81  84  84  84  87  87  87  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC 
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  
TSTM COV........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO 
TEMP............63  62  62  64  66  68  69  70  71  72  72  71  
RH..............91  93  92  87  81  79  75  72  67  66  67  67  
20 FT WIND DIR..S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 6 MPH. 
.MARTIN LUTHER KING JR DAY...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. 

$$
FORECASTER...BOWSER
REQUESTED BY...TIFFANY PATE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1700313.0/SHV
.EMAIL TPATE@TFS.TAMU.EDU