586 
FXUS64 KCRP 021136
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
636 AM CDT SAT APR 2 2016

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR 12Z AVIATION.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED AT THE TERMINALS OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NORTHERLY WINDS THIS MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON WILL BECOME MORE LIGHT AND VARIABLE BY TONIGHT. 

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 415 AM CDT SAT APR 2 2016/ 

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED
THROUGHOUT THE SHORT TERM. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SINK
SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE STATE TODAY WITH WINDS DIMINISHING OVER
INLAND LOCATIONS. BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY
ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. A CHILLY NIGHT CAN
BE EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...
LIGHT WINDS AND DRY AIR ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS. LOW TEMPS WILL FALL
INTO THE 40S IN MOST AREAS...WITH LOWER 50S NEAR LAREDO AND THE
COASTAL BEND. SFC HIGH WILL THEN SHIFT OFF TO THE EAST ON SUNDAY
WITH LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS RETURNING TO THE AREA... ALLOWING TEMPS
TO REBOUND SLIGHTLY. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED DURING THE SHORT
TERM.

MARINE...GALE CONDITIONS HAVE SUBSIDED OVER THE GULF WATERS.
HOWEVER...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TODAY AS
WINDS REMAIN ELEVATED AND HAZARDOUS SEAS CONTINUE. WINDS AND SEAS
WILL DIMINISH LATER THIS AFTERNOON. 

LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...OVERALL PATTERN IN THE
LONG TERM PERIOD REMAINS QUIET WITH UPPER LEVEL AND SURFACE RIDGING
EARLY IN THE WEEK. SURFACE RIDGE WILL VERY GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE
EAST BRINGING A RETURN TO ONSHORE FLOW. UPPER LEVEL RIDGE FLATTENS A
BIT AS NEXT DISTURBANCE MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL US...BUT THE ENERGY
MAINLY STAYS WELL TO THE NORTH AS RIDGING MAINTAINS CONTROL OVER
SOUTH TEXAS. MODELS NOW INDICATE THE FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
SYSTEM POTENTIALLY STALLING NORTH OF SOUTH TEXAS OR POSSIBLY BACKING
INTO THE AREA ON FRIDAY. REGARDLESS...WILL NOT SEE MUCH AFFECT FROM
THIS WEAKENING FRONT. WITH LITTLE MOISTURE NOW PROGGED BACK INTO THE
REGION HAVE NO MENTIONABLE POPS. LARGELY STEADY MAX TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY WITH HIGHS AROUND 80 EASY AND IN
THE MID TO UPPER 80S WEST. WILL HAVE A GRADUAL INCREASE IN MIN TEMPS
AS MOISTURE RETURNS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    73  49  77  56  82  /   0   0   0   0   0 
VICTORIA          72  44  76  52  81  /   0   0   0   0   0 
LAREDO            74  50  81  57  88  /   0   0   0   0   0 
ALICE             74  45  79  53  85  /   0   0   0   0   0 
ROCKPORT          73  53  76  61  79  /   0   0   0   0   0 
COTULLA           73  45  79  52  86  /   0   0   0   0   0 
KINGSVILLE        74  46  79  54  83  /   0   0   0   0   0 
NAVY CORPUS       72  55  75  62  78  /   0   0   0   0   0 

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE 
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT 
     ARANSAS OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO 
     MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY 
     TO PORT ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS 
     TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

$$

TB/78...AVIATION