441 
FNUS75 KBOU 181915
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR MUD SPRINGS JMJ...CSFS   
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
1215 PM MST MON JAN 18 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MST ON JANUARY 19. 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL PUSH OVERHEAD
TONIGHT BRINGING COLDER TEMPERATURES AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT
SNOW OVERNIGHT. WITH THE EXPECTED COLDER TEMPERATURES...FAIRLY LIGHT
WINDS...AND THE POSSIBILITY OF THE HIGH CLOUD COVER NOT RETREATING
TO THE EAST AS QUICK AS FORECASTED...DISPERSION IS EXPECTED TO BE
POOR.  

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(60-65%) UNTIL 0600...THEN PARTLY 
                    CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1100...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY. 
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0700. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29. 
MIN HUMIDITY........43%. 
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTS TO 11 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1100 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN BELOW 1000 
                    FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 2300-3300 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH. 
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. 


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR MUD SPRINGS JMJ.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT      

01/18-11 37  0  0 32 38 WSW  8 13 2 1 WNW 45  1952   W 18 31024 P    
01/18-12 38  0  0 33 40 WSW 10 16 2 1 WNW 51  2584   W 21 46454  F   
01/18-13 40  1  0 34 42   W 12 20 2 1   W 56  3216   W 23 64521   G  
01/18-14 44  1  0 34 43   W 13 21 2 1   W 61  3848   W 25 85225   G  
01/18-15 48  1  0 35 41   W 12 20 2 1   W 59  3219   W 24 66270   G  
01/18-16 51  1  0 32 43   W 10 17 2 1   W 58  2590   W 22 49662  F   
01/18-17 55  0  0 28 48   W  9 15 2 1   W 55  1962   W 21 34833 P    
01/18-18 55  0  0 24 57   W  9 14 2 1   W 53  1748   W 18 27668 P    
01/18-19 55  0  0 23 59   W  8 14 2 1   W 51  1534   W 16 21328 P    
01/18-20 55  1  0 21 65   W  8 13 2 1   W 48  1320   W 14 15811 P    
01/18-21 55  1  0 22 61   W  8  8 2 1 WNW 46  1271   W 15 15910 P    
01/18-22 55  2  0 19 68   W  5  7 2 1 WNW 45  1223 WNW 15 15956 P    
01/18-23 69  2  0 20 65   W  5  7 2 1 WNW 43  1174 WNW 16 15950 P    
01/19-00 69  5  1 18 70   W  5  7 2 1 WNW 43  1002 WNW 15 12721 P    
01/19-01 76  8  2 17 73 WNW  6  8 2 1 WNW 43   830 WNW 14  9799 P    
01/19-02 82 11  2 15 80 WNW  6 10 2 1   W 43   658 WNW 13  7184 P    
01/19-03 81 11  2 15 82 WNW  6 10 2 1 WNW 36   804 WNW 13  8665 P    
01/19-04 75 11  2 17 76  NW  6 10 2 1  NW 30   950  NW 13 10028 P    
01/19-05 64 11  2 17 77  NW  6 10 2 1 NNW 25  1096  NW 12 11325 P    
01/19-06 55 10  2 16 79  NW  6 10 2 1 NNW 25  1029  NW 12 10321 P    
01/19-07 46  9  2 17 74  NW  6  9 3 1 NNW 26   963  NW 12  9357 P    
01/19-08 46  8  2 17 74  NW  6  9 3 1 NNW 26   896  NW 10  8435 P    
01/19-09 33  6  1 19 69  NW  6  7 3 1 NNW 23  1444  NW 10 12855 P    
01/19-10 33  5  1 23 61 WNW  5  5 4 1 NNW 20  1991  NW  9 16717 P    
01/19-11 29  3  1 25 57 WNW  5  5 4 1 NNW 16  2539  NW  9 20020 P    
01/19-12 29  3  1 25 56 WNW  5  5 4 1  NW 14  3060 WNW  9 25945 P    
01/19-13 29  3  1 27 50   W  6  7 4 1 WNW 13  3581   W 10 32487 P    
01/19-14 29  2  0 29 44   W  7 11 4 1 WNW 14  4103   W 12 39647 P    
01/19-15 29  2  0 29 43   W  7 11 3 1   W 18  3006   W 10 28424 P    
01/19-16 29  2  0 27 45   W  7 11 3 1   W 25  1910 WSW 10 17660 P    
01/19-17 37  3  1 19 62   W  7 11 2 1   W 32   814 WSW 10  7355 P    
01/19-18 37  3  1 16 69   W  7 11 2 1   W 37   871 WSW 12  8851 P    
01/19-19 37  3  1 14 75   W  8 11 2 1   W 40   928   W 13 10476 P    
01/19-20 37  3  1 13 76   W  8 13 2 1 WNW 41   984   W 14 12228 P    
01/19-21 37  3  1 13 73   W  8 13 2 1 WNW 41   862   W 14 10564 P    
01/19-22 37  3  1 14 66   W  8 13 2 1 WNW 40   740   W 14  8942 P    
01/19-23 65  7  1 16 59   W  8 13 2 1 WNW 38   618   W 14  7361 P    
01/20-00 65  7  1 17 56   W  9 14 2 1 WNW 36   644   W 14  8003 P    
01/20-01 65  7  1 18 55   W  9 15 3 1 WNW 33   670   W 15  8672 P    
01/20-02 65  7  1 18 56   W 10 16 3 1 WNW 32   696   W 15  9368 P    
01/20-03 65  7  1 18 58   W 10 17 3 1 WNW 31   596   W 17  9004 P    
01/20-04 65  7  1 17 62   W 12 17 3 1 WNW 31   497   W 20  8312 P    
01/20-05 65 14  3 16 67   W 12 18 3 1 WNW 32   397 WNW 21  7291 P    
01/20-06 65 14  3 15 73   W 13 21 3 1 WNW 36   515 WNW 22  9873 P    
01/20-07 65 14  3 14 80   W 14 22 3 1 WNW 40   633 WNW 23 12642 P    
01/20-08 65 14  3 16 77   W 15 24 3 1 WNW 44   751 WNW 24 15600 P    
01/20-09 65 14  3 19 70   W 15 24 3 1 WNW 41  1759 WNW 25 39133 P    
01/20-10 65 14  3 23 61   W 16 25 4 1 WNW 39  2768 WNW 28 65641   G  
01/20-11 64 17  3 26 55   W 16 25 4 1 WNW 37  3776 WNW 29 95124   G  
01/20-12 64 17  3 28 51   W 17 28 4 1 WNW 40  4320 WNW 30114077    V 
01/20-13 64 17  3 28 51   W 18 29 3 1 WNW 46  4863   W 32134354    V 
01/20-14 64 17  3 27 53 WNW 18 30 3 1 WNW 49  5407   W 33155955     E
01/20-15 64 17  3 25 56 WNW 17 26 3 1 WNW 49  4794   W 31128292    V 
01/20-16 64 17  3 22 61 WNW 15 23 3 1   W 47  4181   W 29103182    V 
01/20-17 79 17  3 20 65 WNW 13 21 3 1   W 45  3568   W 26 80625   G  
01/20-18 79 17  3 18 68 WNW 13 20 3 1 WNW 45  3270 WNW 26 75241   G  
01/20-19 79 17  3 16 72 WNW 13 21 2 1 WNW 45  2973 WNW 26 69614   G  
01/20-20 79 17  3 15 73 WNW 14 22 2 1  NW 44  2675 WNW 28 63743   G  
01/20-21 79 17  3 14 74 WNW 14 22 2 1  NW 38  2384  NW 28 58035  F   
01/20-22 79 17  3 13 75  NW 14 23 2 1 NNW 32  2092  NW 29 52021  F   
01/20-23 72 14  3 12 76  NW 14 22 2 1 NNW 26  1800  NW 29 45702  F   
01/21-00 72 14  3 11 77  NW 13 21 2 1 NNW 24  1526  NW 26 35340 P    
01/21-01 72 14  3 10 79  NW 13 20 2 1  NW 23  1252  NW 24 26201 P    
01/21-02 72 14  3  9 80  NW 12 18 2 1  NW 23   978  NW 22 18286 P    
01/21-03 72 14  3  9 78  NW 10 16 2 1 NNW 24   976  NW 22 18543 P    
01/21-04 72 14  3  9 77  NW  9 14 3 1 NNW 25   974  NW 22 18799 P    
01/21-05 30  4  1  9 76  NW  8 13 3 1 NNW 28   972  NW 23 19054 P    
01/21-06 30  4  1  9 77  NW  8  8   1                                
01/21-07 30  4  1  9 78  NW  7  7   1                                
01/21-08 30  4  1 10 76  NW  7  7   1                                
01/21-09 30  4  1 13 68  NW  7  7   1                                
01/21-10 30  4  1 17 58 WNW  7  7   1                                
01/21-11 17  1  0 21 49 WNW  7  7   1                                
01/21-12 17  1  0 24 44 WNW  7  7   1                                
01/21-13 17  1  0 26 40 WNW  7  7   1                                
01/21-14 17  1  0 27 39 WNW  8  8   1                                
01/21-15 17  1  0 26 40 WNW  8 13   1                                
01/21-16 17  1  0 23 44 WNW  8 13   1                                
01/21-17 15  1  0 19 51 WNW  8 13   1                                

KEY: 

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ 
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ 
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ 
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...KRIEDERMAN
REQUESTED BY...LARRY LONG
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160119.MUDSP.01/BOU