National Weather Service Text Product
AFOS product FWSBOU
Dates interpreted at 00:00 UTCDisplaying AFOS PIL: FWSBOU
Product Timestamp: 2015-02-12 16:41 UTC
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779
FNUS75 KBOU 121641
FWSBOU
SPOT FORECAST FOR MUMFORD RX...COUNTY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
941 AM MST THU FEB 12 2015
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 MST ON FEBRUARY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.
.DISCUSSION...SOME MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA
THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE PARTIAL CLEARING LATER THIS
AFTERNOON. THE MORNING HAS STARTED OFF QUITE COOL...AND INVERSIONS
WILL LIMIT SMOKE DISERSION THROUGH THE DAY. AS A RESULT...MAINLY
POOR SMOKE DISPERSION IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AS WINDS NEAR THE
SURFACE SHOULD REMAIN LIGHT. THERE IS ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE
STRONGER WEST/NORTHWEST WINDS WOULD DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON
DURING PEAK HEATING.
FRIDAY SHOULD FEATURE SOMEWHAT BETTER SMOKE DISPERSION WITH WARMER
TEMPERATURES...WEAKER MORNING INVERSIONS...AND MORE SUNSHINE.
DESPITE RATHER LIGHT TRANSPORT WINDS...WE DO EXPECT GOOD
LOFTING OF THE SMOKE PLUME...ENOUGH FOR FAIR SMOKE DISPERSION
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(60-65%) UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY
CLOUDY(50-60%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MIN HUMIDITY........25%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 3000-4000
FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
MAX HUMIDITY........65%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL
AFTER 2200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1100...THEN MOSTLY
SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........22%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN SOUTHEAST 4-8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 6200-7200 FT AGL
AFTER 1100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...COLDER. CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 10.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 5. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
30S.
FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR MUMFORD RX.
+++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++
FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 15KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV
VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG
MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT
02/12-09 60 0 0 36 64 NNW 2 2 3 1 NW 36 1164 NW 6 5668 P
02/12-10 60 0 0 43 47 N 2 2 3 1 NNW 35 1741 WNW 6 8756 P
02/12-11 61 0 0 47 38 NNE 2 2 3 1 NNW 32 2319 W 6 11843 P
02/12-12 59 0 0 50 33 N 2 2 3 1 NNW 32 3014 WNW 7 21369 P
02/12-13 56 0 0 54 27 NNW 3 3 2 1 NNW 32 3709 WNW 9 30894 P
02/12-14 54 0 0 55 25 WNW 5 5 2 1 NW 31 4404 WNW 10 40420 F
02/12-15 56 0 0 55 25 WNW 5 5 2 1 NNW 32 4070 WNW 10 35628 P
02/12-16 57 0 0 53 28 WNW 6 6 2 1 NNW 33 3735 WNW 9 30836 P
02/12-17 59 0 0 51 30 W 6 6 2 1 NNW 35 3400 WNW 9 26045 P
02/12-18 59 0 0 47 35 W 6 6 2 1 NNW 33 2652 WNW 8 19211 P
02/12-19 59 0 0 44 39 W 6 6 2 1 NNW 32 1903 W 7 12377 P
02/12-20 59 0 0 42 43 WSW 6 6 2 1 NNW 31 1154 W 6 5544 P
02/12-21 59 0 0 41 44 W 6 6 2 1 NNW 30 1044 W 7 6283 P
02/12-22 59 0 0 40 48 W 6 6 2 1 NNW 30 934 W 9 7022 P
02/12-23 44 0 0 40 48 W 6 6 2 1 NNW 29 824 W 10 7762 P
02/13-00 44 0 0 39 50 W 6 6 2 1 NNW 30 782 W 10 7222 P
02/13-01 44 0 0 40 48 W 6 6 2 1 NNW 31 740 W 10 6683 P
02/13-02 44 0 0 39 50 WNW 6 6 2 1 NNW 32 698 W 10 6143 P
02/13-03 44 0 0 38 53 W 6 6 2 1 NNW 32 694 W 9 5803 P
02/13-04 44 0 0 36 58 W 5 5 2 1 NNW 33 689 W 9 5463 P
02/13-05 39 0 0 35 61 W 5 5 2 1 NNW 33 684 W 8 5122 P
02/13-06 39 0 0 34 64 W 3 3 2 1 NNW 32 667 W 8 4515 P
02/13-07 39 0 0 34 65 W 2 2 2 1 NW 31 650 W 7 3908 P
02/13-08 39 0 0 36 61 W 2 2 2 1 NW 30 633 W 6 3300 P
02/13-09 39 0 0 42 51 WSW 2 2 2 1 NW 30 2377 W 6 12597 P
02/13-10 39 0 0 49 41 SW 3 3 2 1 NNW 31 4121 NW 6 21894 P
02/13-11 24 0 0 56 33 SSW 5 5 2 1 NNW 32 5866 NNW 6 31191 P
02/13-12 24 0 0 61 26 S 6 6 2 1 NNW 32 6372 NW 6 30345 P
02/13-13 24 0 0 63 23 SSE 6 6 2 1 NNW 33 6879 NW 5 29500 P
02/13-14 24 0 0 64 22 SE 6 6 2 1 NNW 33 7385 WNW 5 28654 P
02/13-15 24 0 0 64 22 SSE 5 5 2 1 NNW 32 6835 WNW 5 26292 P
02/13-16 24 0 0 63 24 S 5 5 2 1 NW 31 6285 W 5 23930 P
02/13-17 5 0 0 60 28 S 3 3 2 1 NNW 36 5593 WNW 6 25605 P
02/13-18 5 0 0 56 32 S 3 3 2 1 NNW 36 4068 W 6 18992 P
02/13-19 5 0 0 52 38 SSW 3 3 2 1 NNW 36 2543 WSW 6 12379 P
02/13-20 5 0 0 48 44 SW 3 3 2 1 NNW 36 1018 WSW 7 5766 P
02/13-21 5 0 0 46 47 WSW 3 3 2 1 NNW 33 910 WSW 7 5087 P
02/13-22 5 0 0 45 49 WSW 5 5 3 1 NNW 31 803 W 6 4407 P
02/13-23 12 0 0 44 51 W 5 5 3 1 NNW 29 695 W 6 3727 P
02/14-00 12 0 0 43 51 W 5 5 3 1 NW 30 692 W 7 3847 P
02/14-01 12 0 0 41 55 W 5 5 3 1 NW 30 689 W 7 3967 P
02/14-02 12 0 0 40 55 W 5 5 3 1 NW 30 686 W 7 4087 P
02/14-03 12 0 0 38 57 W 5 5 3 1 NW 30 658 W 7 3817 P
02/14-04 12 0 0 37 56 W 5 5 3 1 NW 30 630 W 7 3548 P
02/14-05 40 0 0 36 59 W 5 5 3 1 NW 30 602 W 6 3279 P
02/14-06 40 0 0 36 61 W 5 5 4 1 NW 29 633 W 6 3429 P
02/14-07 40 0 0 37 61 W 6 6 4 1 NW 28 664 W 6 3580 P
02/14-08 40 0 0 40 57 W 6 6 5 1 NW 26 695 W 6 3731 P
02/14-09 40 0 0 45 49 SW 5 5 5 1 NW 28 1079 W 5 3247 P
02/14-10 40 0 0 52 38 SSE 3 3 5 1 WNW 28 1464 WSW 3 2763 P
02/14-11 21 0 0 58 30 SE 3 3 5 1 WNW 29 1848 CALM 2279 P
02/14-12 21 0 0 62 26 E 5 5 5 1 WNW 29 2423 WSW 2 6510 P
02/14-13 21 0 0 64 24 N 6 6 5 1 WNW 29 2998 WSW 3 10741 P
02/14-14 21 0 0 64 24 NW 7 7 5 1 WNW 29 3573 WSW 5 14972 P
02/14-15 21 0 0 63 25 NNW 7 7 5 1 WNW 30 3462 WSW 6 16095 P
02/14-16 21 0 0 61 26 NNW 6 6 5 1 WNW 30 3351 WSW 6 17217 P
02/14-17 24 0 0 58 29 NNW 6 6 5 1 W 31 3240 WSW 7 18339 P
02/14-18 24 0 0 53 35 NNW 6 6 5 1 W 31 2438 WSW 6 13193 P
02/14-19 24 0 0 49 42 NW 6 6 4 1 W 31 1637 WSW 5 8047 P
02/14-20 24 0 0 45 49 NW 6 6 4 1 W 31 836 WSW 3 2901 P
02/14-21 24 0 0 42 55 NW 6 6 4 1 W 30 788 W 5 2890 P
02/14-22 24 0 0 40 59 NNW 5 5 3 1 W 29 739 NW 5 2879 P
02/14-23 28 1 0 38 64 NNW 5 5 3 1 W 28 691 NNW 5 2867 P
02/15-00 28 1 0 37 67 NNW 3 3 3 1 W 23 745 NNW 6 3530 P
02/15-01 28 1 0 36 67 NW 3 3 3 1 W 20 800 NNW 6 4192 P
02/15-02 28 1 0 34 72 WNW 2 2 3 1 W 15 854 N 7 4854 P
02/15-03 28 1 0 33 72 WNW 2 2 3 1 W 20 813 NNW 6 3788 P
02/15-04 28 1 0 32 75 CALM 1 3 1 W 23 772 NW 3 2721 P
02/15-05 25 2 0 30 81 CALM 1 3 1 WNW 28 730 WNW 2 1654 P
KEY:
FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI - HAINES INDEX
LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD
V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT
$$
FORECASTER...BARJENBRUCH
REQUESTED BY...PAUL OSTROY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150212.MUMFO.01/BOU