National Weather Service Raw Text Product

152 
FXUS64 KTSA 150914
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
314 AM CST THU JAN 15 2015

.DISCUSSION...

THE UPPER TROUGH THAT BROUGHT THE LIGHT WINTRY PRECIP TO NE OK
AND NW AR YESTERDAY IS SWEEPING ACROSS AS I TYPE. STILL SOME LIGHT
ECHOES ON RADAR OVER SE OK INTO W CENTRAL AR IN ADVANCE OF THE
TROUGH AXIS...HOWEVER OBSERVATIONS IN THE REGION ARE NOT REPORTING
ANY PRECIP. THIS SHOULD BE EAST OF OUR AREA ANYWAY BY 12Z...AND
THUS WILL KEEP A DRY FORECAST GOING FOR TODAY. SKIES WILL CLEAR
FROM NW TO SE THRU THE MORNING HOURS. WINDS WILL SWITCH AROUND TO
THE WEST THIS AFTERNOON...SETTING THE STAGE FOR THE WARMEST DAY OF
2015 THUS FAR. THE WARMING CONTINUES TO CLOSE OUT THE WEEK. RISING
MID LEVEL HEIGHTS...LEE TROUGHING ON THE HIGH PLAINS INDICATIVE OF
INCREASING DOWNSLOPE FLOW AND SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST SURFACE WINDS
WILL HELP TO PUSH HIGHS INTO THE 60S MOST AREAS FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY. A PACIFIC FRONT WILL SLIDE THROUGH THE REGION BY LATE
SATURDAY IN ASSOCIATION WITH A FAST MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH IN
THE NW FLOW OVER THE PLAINS...HOLDING HIGHS FAIRLY STEADY INTO
SUNDAY. THE ECMWF EVEN DEVELOPS SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY TO THE NORTH
AND EAST OF TULSA...BUT CHANCES OF MEASURABLE PRECIP IS NOT TOO
HIGH. MONDAY SHOULD BE ANOTHER MILD DAY BEFORE ANOTHER FRONT
SLIDES THROUGH TUESDAY...KNOCKING TEMPS BACK DOWN SOME...ALTHOUGH
STILL MUCH WARMER THAN THE COLD WEATHER THAT PERSISTED DURING THE
FIRST HALF OF THIS MONTH. GFS AND ECMWF DIVERGE TOWARD THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK...BUT BOTH SUGGEST THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM COULD AFFECT
OUR REGION BY NEXT THURSDAY. STILL WAY TOO EARLY TO TELL IF THERE
WILL BE IMPACTS FROM THIS SYSTEM.

LACY

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   52  27  60  37 /   0   0   0   0 
FSM   50  27  58  33 /  10   0   0   0 
MLC   51  28  60  38 /  10   0   0   0 
BVO   51  22  59  33 /   0   0   0   0 
FYV   46  24  57  34 /  10   0   0   0 
BYV   46  27  57  35 /  10   0   0   0 
MKO   51  26  59  35 /   0   0   0   0 
MIO   48  25  58  35 /   0   0   0   0 
F10   52  28  60  37 /   0   0   0   0 
HHW   52  28  60  35 /  10   0   0   0 

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

LONG TERM....30