National Weather Service Text Product
AFOS product AFDMAF
Dates interpreted at 00:00 UTCDisplaying AFOS PIL: AFDMAF
        Product Timestamp: 2014-11-24 20:45 UTC
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012 FXUS64 KMAF 242045 AFDMAF AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 245 PM CST Mon Nov 24 2014 .DISCUSSION... A relatively benign weather pattern is in store for West Texas and Southeast New Mexico this week, characterized generally by above-normal temps and little to no precipitation. Current WV imagery shows a broad trough over the central CONUS, w/minor shortwaves digging SE thru this feature. The first is due thru tonight, pushing a weak cold front into the area, keeping temps below normal Tuesday. Models of late have carried a narrower diurnal spread on temps than reality, and forecast soundings and H85 temp fields suggest guidance may be trying to warm things back up too fast in the short term under NW flow aloft. Even so, temps should return to AOA normal by Wednesday afternoon, despite a secondary weak front advertised for Wednesday afternoon. NW flow aloft then slowly begins transitioning to zonal into the weekend as a broad, flat upper ridge builds in from the west. Models develop a stationary upper trough over Mexico into the weekend, but this will have little effect on things here other than keeping temps down a notch from where they otherwise would have been. Temps peak Saturday, then begin dropping as the upper ridge moves east in response to a trough making landfall on the west coast. Models attempt to bring in a third cold front Sunday night, but this looks weak and stalls out mid-CWA, not even bringing temps back to normal Monday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... ANDREWS TX 32 57 34 64 / 0 0 0 0 BIG SPRING TX 34 59 34 64 / 0 0 0 0 CARLSBAD NM 32 57 33 62 / 0 0 0 0 DRYDEN TX 34 64 32 69 / 0 0 0 0 FORT STOCKTON TX 34 57 35 66 / 0 0 0 0 GUADALUPE PASS TX 29 49 33 56 / 0 0 0 0 HOBBS NM 29 54 31 62 / 0 0 0 0 MARFA TX 22 52 22 61 / 0 0 0 0 MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX 31 59 31 65 / 0 0 0 0 ODESSA TX 31 59 35 64 / 0 0 0 0 WINK TX 31 59 31 66 / 0 0 0 0 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...NONE. TX...NONE. && $$ 29/44 Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at: http://facebook.com/NWSMidland http://twitter.com/NWSMidland Check us out on the internet at: http://weather.gov/midland