National Weather Service Text Product
AFOS product FWSBOU
Dates interpreted at 00:00 UTCDisplaying AFOS PIL: FWSBOU
Product Timestamp: 2014-11-15 17:29 UTC
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467
FNUS75 KBOU 151747
FWSBOU
SPOT FORECAST FOR WAPITI RX FIRE...COUNTY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
1029 AM MST SAT NOV 15 2014
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MST ON NOVEMBER 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.
.DISCUSSION...ANOTHER ARCTIC FRONT MOVED INTO NORTHEAST COLORADO
THIS MORNING BRINGING MORE COLD TEMPERATURES TO THE FRONT RANGE.
HIGHS WILL ONLY BE IN THE 20S...WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IS MOVING
OVER THE STATE TODAY WHICH WILL PRODUCE PERIODS OF SNOW THROUGH THIS
EVENING. DRIER AIR WILL BEGIN MOVING INTO THE REGION AFTER MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT WITH NO MORE PRECIPITATION EXPECTED UNTIL THURSDAY. UPPER
RIDGING OVER THE WESTERN U.S. WITH MODERATE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
WILL THE MAIN THEME FROM SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL
UNDERGO A GRADUAL WARMING TREND. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY AT TIMES...DUE
TO THE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW PATTERN ALOFT.
.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH PERIODS OF SNOW. 2-4 INCH ACCUMULATIONS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....UPPER 20S EARLY IN THE DAY...TEMPERATURES IN THE
UPPER TEENS AND LOWER 20S THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-58%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6-12 MPH UNTIL 1400...THEN
UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH.
CWR.................85 PERCENT DECREASING TO 50 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 0200...THEN PARTLY
CLOUDY(40-50%). SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 2100...THEN
CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 2400...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SNOW UNTIL 0200. 1-2 INCH ACCUMULATIONS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 2 BELOW.
MAX HUMIDITY........100%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-8 MPH.
CWR.................45 PERCENT DECREASING TO 5 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1400 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN BELOW 1000
FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%) UNTIL 0800...THEN MOSTLY
SUNNY UNTIL 1100...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....24-30.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-48%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 2000-2500
FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 9. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S.
WEST WINDS 8-12 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 8. HIGHS AROUND 30. WEST
WINDS 10-16 MPH. GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE TUESDAY EVENING AND TUESDAY
NIGHT.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S. WEST WINDS 8-12 MPH.
FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR WAPITI RX FIRE.
+++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++
FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 15KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV
VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG
MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT
11/15-10 98 92 87 21 70 ENE 9 9 3 1 W 45 1535 NNE 5 6690 P
11/15-11100 91 86 18 77 NE 9 14 3 1 W 40 1699 ENE 6 8248 P
11/15-12100 87 79 18 73 ENE 9 9 3 1 W 43 1659 ENE 6 7512 P
11/15-13100 83 73 17 71 ENE 8 8 2 1 W 46 1619 ESE 5 6776 P
11/15-14100 79 66 15 73 E 7 7 2 1 W 49 1579 SE 5 6040 P
11/15-15 98 74 59 14 74 E 6 6 2 1 W 52 1533 ESE 5 5711 P
11/15-16 97 69 51 13 76 E 6 6 2 1 W 54 1487 ESE 5 5382 P
11/15-17 95 64 44 11 80 ESE 6 6 2 1 W 56 1442 ESE 5 5053 P
11/15-18 92 62 41 10 79 ESE 6 6 2 1 W 56 1264 SE 5 5102 P
11/15-19 94 59 36 8 81 SSE 7 7 2 1 W 56 1085 S 6 5151 P
11/15-20 91 56 32 3 95 S 7 7 2 1 W 56 907 SSW 7 5200 P
11/15-21 77 46 23 0100 S 7 7 2 1 W 54 945 SSW 6 4713 P
11/15-22 63 37 15 -2100 S 6 6 2 1 W 51 984 SW 5 4226 P
11/15-23 49 27 7 -2100 SSW 6 6 2 1 W 47 1022 WSW 5 3739 P
11/16-00 47 20 4 -2 99 SSW 6 6 2 1 W 45 993 WSW 5 3916 P
11/16-01 44 10 2 -2 99 SW 6 6 2 1 W 43 965 W 5 4094 P
11/16-02 41 6 1 0 91 WSW 6 6 2 1 W 39 937 W 6 4271 P
11/16-03 41 5 1 -1 94 WSW 6 6 2 1 WNW 36 922 W 6 4709 P
11/16-04 41 4 1 -2 98 W 7 7 3 1 WNW 32 908 WNW 7 5147 P
11/16-05 34 3 1 -1 95 W 7 7 3 1 NW 29 893 WNW 7 5585 P
11/16-06 34 3 1 0 97 W 7 7 3 1 NW 28 897 WNW 8 6645 P
11/16-07 34 2 0 2 96 W 8 8 3 1 NNW 28 900 WNW 10 7706 P
11/16-08 24 2 0 5 91 W 8 8 3 1 NNW 26 904 NW 12 8766 P
11/16-09 24 2 0 10 78 W 7 7 3 1 NNW 29 1131 NW 12 11126 P
11/16-10 24 3 1 16 64 W 7 7 4 1 NNW 30 1358 WNW 12 13486 P
11/16-11 39 2 0 22 52 W 6 6 4 1 NNW 32 1585 WNW 12 15846 P
11/16-12 39 2 0 25 47 W 6 6 3 1 NNW 31 2081 WNW 12 21345 P
11/16-13 39 2 0 27 43 WNW 6 6 3 1 NNW 31 2577 NW 12 26843 P
11/16-14 39 2 0 27 42 WNW 7 7 2 1 NNW 31 3074 NW 13 32341 P
11/16-15 39 2 0 25 45 WNW 8 13 2 1 NNW 35 2738 NW 12 28065 P
11/16-16 39 2 0 22 49 WNW 8 14 2 1 NNW 39 2402 WNW 12 23788 P
11/16-17 27 2 0 18 56 WNW 9 15 2 1 NNW 43 2066 WNW 10 19512 P
11/16-18 27 2 0 16 59 WNW 9 15 2 1 NW 43 1899 WNW 10 17777 P
11/16-19 27 2 0 14 61 W 9 15 2 1 NW 43 1732 WNW 10 16042 P
11/16-20 27 2 0 13 61 W 9 15 2 1 NW 43 1565 WNW 10 14307 P
11/16-21 27 2 0 12 61 W 9 14 2 1 NW 46 1481 WNW 10 13818 P
11/16-22 27 2 0 11 62 W 8 14 2 1 NW 49 1398 WNW 12 13329 P
11/16-23 28 2 0 10 63 W 8 13 2 1 NW 54 1314 W 12 12840 P
11/17-00 28 2 0 10 62 W 8 13 2 1 NW 56 1350 WNW 12 13884 P
11/17-01 28 2 0 9 64 W 9 14 3 1 NW 60 1386 WNW 13 14929 P
11/17-02 28 2 0 9 63 W 9 15 3 1 NW 62 1422 WNW 13 15973 P
11/17-03 28 2 0 9 62 W 9 15 3 1 NW 63 1476 WNW 13 16951 P
11/17-04 28 2 0 9 60 W 10 16 3 1 NW 64 1531 WNW 14 17929 P
11/17-05 37 2 0 10 58 W 10 16 3 1 NW 66 1586 WNW 14 18907 P
11/17-06 37 2 0 10 59 W 10 17 3 1 NNW 60 1557 WNW 14 19026 P
11/17-07 37 2 0 11 59 W 10 17 4 1 NNW 55 1529 WNW 15 19145 P
11/17-08 37 2 0 12 61 W 10 16 4 1 NNW 51 1500 WNW 15 19265 P
11/17-09 37 2 0 14 60 W 9 15 4 1 NNW 47 1844 WNW 14 22450 P
11/17-10 37 2 0 16 60 W 9 14 5 1 NNW 45 2188 WNW 14 25635 P
11/17-11 37 2 0 19 56 W 8 13 5 1 NNW 41 2532 WNW 13 28821 P
11/17-12 37 2 0 20 55 W 7 7 4 1 NNW 46 2498 WNW 13 27387 P
11/17-13 37 2 0 21 53 WNW 7 7 3 1 NNW 51 2463 NW 13 25953 P
11/17-14 37 2 0 21 52 NW 7 7 2 1 NNW 56 2429 NW 12 24520 P
11/17-15 37 2 0 19 54 WNW 8 13 2 1 NNW 56 2099 NW 13 22416 P
11/17-16 37 2 0 17 56 W 9 15 2 1 NNW 56 1769 WNW 14 20312 P
11/17-17 37 0 0 15 58 W 10 16 2 1 NNW 58 1439 WNW 15 18208 P
11/17-18 37 0 0 13 62 W 12 18 2 1 NNW 58 1314 WNW 16 18243 P
11/17-19 37 0 0 12 62 W 13 20 2 1 NNW 58 1190 WNW 18 18277 P
11/17-20 37 0 0 11 63 W 13 21 2 1 NNW 58 1065 WNW 20 18312 P
11/17-21 37 0 0 10 64 W 12 20 2 1 NNW 56 1006 WNW 20 17543 P
11/17-22 37 0 0 9 65 W 10 17 3 1 NNW 55 947 WNW 21 16775 P
11/17-23 34 0 0 8 66 W 10 16 3 1 NNW 54 887 WNW 21 16007 P
11/18-00 34 0 0 8 63 W 12 18 3 1 NNW 53 876 WNW 21 16155 P
11/18-01 34 0 0 8 59 W 13 21 3 1 NNW 52 864 WNW 22 16304 P
11/18-02 34 0 0 8 57 W 14 22 3 1 NNW 51 852 WNW 22 16452 P
11/18-03 34 0 0 8 56 W 14 22 3 1 NNW 48 855 WNW 23 16813 P
11/18-04 34 0 0 8 57 W 13 20 3 1 NNW 46 859 WNW 23 17175 P
11/18-05 24 0 0 8 60 W 12 18 3 1 NNW 44 862 WNW 23 17536 P
KEY:
FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI - HAINES INDEX
LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD
V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT
$$
FORECASTER...DANKERS
REQUESTED BY...JAY STALNACKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141115.WAPIT.01/BOU