National Weather Service Text Product
AFOS product AFDCRP
Dates interpreted at 00:00 UTCDisplaying AFOS PIL: AFDCRP
Product Timestamp: 2014-10-24 09:32 UTC
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328 FXUS64 KCRP 240932 AFDCRP AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX 432 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014 .SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL RESULT IN INCREASED SUBSIDENCE AND DRYING IN THE SHORT TERM. DAYTIME HIGH WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 80S ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS...TO NEAR 90 ACROSS THE BRUSH COUNTRY TODAY AND SATURDAY UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. ANOTHER NIGHT OF RADIATIONAL COOLING SHOULD ALLOW LOWS TO DIP ONCE MORE INTO THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S TONIGHT. GENERAL LIGHT NORTHEAST TO EAST FLOW IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE SATURDAY...WITH WINDS VEERING OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST LATE SATURDAY AS THE SURFACE HIGH SHIFTS EAST. && .LONG TERM (SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)...GFS/ECMWF PROG A PROGRESSIVE UPPER PATTERN WITH INITIALLY A RIDGE OVER THE CNTRL CONUS/TROUGHS OVER THE WEST AND EAST CONUS COASTS. THE WRN TROUGH IS PROGD TO MOVE ACRS THE CNTRL/NRN PLAINS SUNDAY/MONDAY WHILE ANOTHER SYSTEM DEVELOPS/MOVES ACRS THE SWRN CONUS. AS A RESULT...A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS PROGD TO ENTER THE REGION. CONCUR WITH THE GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN WHICH POSITIONS THE FRONT ACRS CNRL/NRN TX WEDNESDAY THEN ACRS SRN/CNTRL TX THURSDAY. CONCUR WITH GFS/ECMWF ONSHORE FLOW...AND ASSOCIATED MSTR INCREASE...IN RESPONSE TO THE FOREGOING DISTURBANCES. THE GFS PROG PWAT VALUES TO INCREASE TO NEAR NORMAL LEVELS BY WEDNESDAY. THE COMBINATION OF INCREASING MSTR/PROXIMITY OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY/INCREASING INSTABILITY TO RESULT IN AT LEAST ISOLD CONVECTION WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY ACRS THE CWA/MSA. AFTERWARD... CONCUR WITH THE GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN/ECMWF DETERMINISTIC WHICH DEPICT RIDGING ALOFT...ASSOCIATED SWD MOVEMENT OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY SOUTH OF THE CWA/MSA...AND SUBSEQUENT DRYING...BEGINNING LATE THURSDAY. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... CORPUS CHRISTI 86 62 87 61 85 / 0 0 0 0 0 VICTORIA 87 58 88 58 87 / 0 0 0 0 0 LAREDO 89 66 91 63 89 / 0 0 0 0 0 ALICE 88 61 90 60 87 / 0 0 0 0 0 ROCKPORT 82 64 84 67 81 / 0 0 0 0 0 COTULLA 89 62 90 59 89 / 0 0 0 0 0 KINGSVILLE 87 60 89 59 87 / 0 0 0 0 0 NAVY CORPUS 84 67 85 68 80 / 0 0 0 0 0 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...NONE. GM...NONE. && $$ CB/85...SHORT TERM WC/87...LONG TERM