AFOS product AFDBMX
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Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDBMX
Product Timestamp: 2014-10-09 02:07 UTC

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FXUS64 KBMX 090207
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
907 PM CDT WED OCT 8 2014

.UPDATE...
EVENING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

MAIN UPDATE TO THE FORECAST WAS TO INCLUDE THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY
FOR THE OVERNIGHT TIME FRAME AND TO ADJUST THE OVERALL WEATHER
GRIDS FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AS THE SHOWERS ARE SLOW TO FADE
AWAY. TEMPERATURES THIS EVENING ARE RUNNING ABOUT THE SAME AS
YESTERDAY...BUT DEWPOINTS ARE HIGHER. MODELS ARE INDICATING LOW
CLOUDS AND FOG DEVELOPING ONCE AGAIN. SEE NO REASON WHY NOT TO GO
WITH THE SAME AREAS AS LAST NIGHT AS CONDITIONS HAVE CHANGED VERY
LITTLE AND THE MOISTURE REMAINS ABUNDANT OF THE AREA. THE ADVISORY
BEGINS AT 3 AM AND WILL LAST THROUGH 9 AM. FOG COULD BEGIN
TO DEVELOP RIGHT AT MIDNIGHT...BUT THE THICKEST SHOULD HOLD OFF
UNTIL AFTER 3 AM. UPDATES ARE OUT. 


16

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO OUR NORTH WILL SLOWLY SLIDE SOUTH 
SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS. THIS ACTIVITY COULD AFFECT 
ANB AND ASN...AND WILL LEAD WITH TSRA IN THE PREVAILING. STRONGER 
STORMS WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND 
MIGHT PRODUCE HAIL.  THERE IS A LOW CHANCE THIS ACTIVITY MAKES IT 
TO BHM AND EET...BUT EXPECT ACTIVITY TO DIMINISH WITH LOSS OF 
HEATING BEFORE AFFECTING OTHER NORTHERN TERMINALS. 

OVERNIGHT...EXPECT FOG TO DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. WITH 
CONDITIONS SIMILAR TO LAST NIGHT AND DEWPOINTS HIGHER IN MOST 
LOCATIONS...LIFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE 
SOUTH...INCLUDING MGM AND TOI. MVFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AT MOST 
OTHER LOCATIONS. EXPECT VIS TO START DROPPING BY 06Z...REACHING 
LIFR CONDITIONS RATHER QUICKLY. IF ANB RECEIVES RAINFALL THIS 
EVENING...FORECASTED VIS WILL LIKELY BE TRENDED DOWNWARD FOR THE 
OVERNIGHT PERIOD. 

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH AT LEAST THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

14


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     61  85  62  85  64 /  30  30  20  30  20 
ANNISTON    64  86  65  85  65 /  20  30  20  20  20 
BIRMINGHAM  67  87  66  86  67 /  20  20  20  20  20 
TUSCALOOSA  66  90  65  88  65 /  10  10  10  20  20 
CALERA      66  88  65  86  66 /  10  20  10  20  20 
AUBURN      67  88  66  87  65 /  10  20  10  10  10 
MONTGOMERY  66  91  65  89  65 /  10  10  10  10  10 
TROY        64  90  63  88  63 /  10  10  10  10  10 

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
DENSE FOG ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM CDT THURSDAY FOR THE 
FOLLOWING COUNTIES: AUTAUGA...BARBOUR...BIBB...BULLOCK...
CHAMBERS...CHILTON...COOSA...DALLAS...ELMORE...GREENE...HALE...
LEE...LOWNDES...MACON...MARENGO...MONTGOMERY...PERRY...PIKE...
RUSSELL...SUMTER...TALLAPOOSA.

&&

$$