653 
FNUS55 KPSR 150941
FWFPSR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
241 AM MST MON SEP 15 2014

.DISCUSSION...
INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY INCREASE
AVAILABLE MOISTURE OVER THE REGION OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS...LEADING TO INCREASING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...WITH THE BEST CHANCES FOR WETTING RAINS TO BE 
OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL AZ. ALONG WITH THE INCREASING CHANCES FOR
RAINFALL...AFTERNOON HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL ALSO BE 
RISING...WITH GOOD TO EXCELLENT OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY WINDS...

NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.

AZZ132-152145-
WEST CENTRAL DESERTS/NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/GREATER PHOENIX
AREA/SOUTHWEST DESERTS/SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/
NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
PHOENIX BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
241 AM MST MON SEP 15 2014

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. 
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................98-107. 
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. 
* MIN HUMIDITY....................21-29 PCT. 
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE. 
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 15 MPH. 
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE 
  MORNING...BECOMING EAST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. 
* LAL.............................1. 
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE 
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......10000 FT AGL. 
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......EAST 4 KNOTS. 
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........GOOD. 

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY BLOWING 
  DUST IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................77-87. 
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. 
* MAX HUMIDITY....................62-76 PCT. 
*    24 HR TREND..................13 PCT WETTER. 
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH. 
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............EAST 10 TO 20 MPH. 
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT. 
* LAL.............................2. 

.TUESDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF 
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................93-102. 
*    24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES COOLER. 
* MIN HUMIDITY....................31-40 PCT. 
*    24 HR TREND..................10 PCT WETTER. 
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH. 
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............EAST 10 TO 20 MPH. 
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT. 
* LAL.............................2. 
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE 
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......8500 FT AGL. 
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......EAST 11 KNOTS. 
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........VERY GOOD. 


.EXTENDED...
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS 70-81. 
HIGHS 88-96. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS 70-80. HIGHS
84-91. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS 70-80. HIGHS 86-94. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 70-80. HIGHS 88-96. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 71-81. HIGHS 91-99. 

$$

AZZ133-152145-
SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS-
SOUTHERN TONTO NF/WEST SAN CARLOS BIA/SOUTH PORTION FT APACHE BIA/
CAZ-
241 AM MST MON SEP 15 2014

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF 
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................82-99. 
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. 
* MIN HUMIDITY....................27-45 PCT. 
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE. 
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH. 
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE 
  MORNING...BECOMING EAST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT IN THE 
  MORNING...BECOMING 10 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
* LAL.............................1 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 2 IN 
  THE AFTERNOON. 
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE 
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF 
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................64-76. 
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. 
* MAX HUMIDITY....................66-78 PCT. 
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE. 
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 15 MPH. 
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............EAST 10 TO 15 MPH. 
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT. 
* LAL.............................2. 

.TUESDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF 
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...BECOMING CHANCE OF 
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................76-95. 
*    24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES COOLER. 
* MIN HUMIDITY....................34-58 PCT. 
*    24 HR TREND..................11 PCT WETTER. 
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH. 
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH. 
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................30 PERCENT. 
* LAL.............................2 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 3 IN 
  THE AFTERNOON. 
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE 
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 


.EXTENDED...
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS 58-74. 
HIGHS 75-90. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS 58-69. HIGHS
71-85. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS 58-70. HIGHS 73-88. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 58-71. HIGHS 76-91. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 60-71. HIGHS 79-94. 

$$

AZZ131-CAZ231-152145-
YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY/LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA-
241 AM MST MON SEP 15 2014 /241 AM PDT MON SEP 15 2014/

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. 
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................102-108. 
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. 
* MIN HUMIDITY....................22-28 PCT. 
*    24 HR TREND..................5 PCT WETTER. 
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH. 
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............EAST 10 TO 15 MPH. 
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. 
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT. 
* LAL.............................1. 
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE 
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........11500 FT AGL. 
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTHEAST 3 KNOTS. 
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............FAIR. 

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY BLOWING DUST 
  IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE 
  EVENING. 
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................81-85. 
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. 
* MAX HUMIDITY....................61-69 PCT. 
*    24 HR TREND..................14 PCT WETTER. 
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH. 
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............EAST 15 TO 25 MPH. 
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. 
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT. 
* LAL.............................2 IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 1 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF 
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................97-103. 
*    24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES COOLER. 
* MIN HUMIDITY....................31-40 PCT. 
*    24 HR TREND..................10 PCT WETTER. 
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH. 
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............EAST 15 TO 25 MPH. 
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT IN THE 
  MORNING...BECOMING 20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT. 
* LAL.............................1 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 2 IN 
  THE AFTERNOON. 
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE 
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........8000 FT AGL. 
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........EAST 7 KNOTS. 
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............GOOD. 


.EXTENDED...
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS 75-82. HIGHS
94-99. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 74-78. HIGHS 90-94. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS 73-77. HIGHS 91-96. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 74-78. HIGHS 92-97. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 74-78. HIGHS 95-100. 

$$

CAZ230-152145-
JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-
241 AM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. 
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................88-103. 
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. 
* MIN HUMIDITY....................18-25 PCT. 
*    24 HR TREND..................3 PCT WETTER. 
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH. 
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH. 
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. 
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT. 
* LAL.............................1. 
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE 
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR. 
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................72-80. 
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. 
* MAX HUMIDITY....................43-51 PCT. 
*    24 HR TREND..................6 PCT WETTER. 
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE 
  EVENING...BECOMING WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............EAST 10 TO 20 MPH. 
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. 
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT. 
* LAL.............................1. 

.TUESDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF 
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................84-99. 
*    24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES COOLER. 
* MIN HUMIDITY....................26-36 PCT. 
*    24 HR TREND..................9 PCT WETTER. 
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH. 
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............EAST 10 TO 20 MPH. 
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT IN THE 
  MORNING...BECOMING 10 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT. 
* LAL.............................1 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 2 IN 
  THE AFTERNOON. 
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE 
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 


.EXTENDED...
.WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
63-79. HIGHS 82-96. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 62-73. HIGHS 76-92. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS 62-72. HIGHS 77-91. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 63-73. HIGHS 78-92. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 65-73. HIGHS 81-95. 

$$

CAZ232-152145-
IMPERIAL COUNTY AND EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY-
241 AM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. 
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................98-108. 
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. 
* MIN HUMIDITY....................19-27 PCT. 
*    24 HR TREND..................5 PCT WETTER. 
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH. 
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............EAST 10 TO 15 MPH. 
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. 
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT. 
* LAL.............................1. 
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE 
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY BLOWING DUST 
  IN THE EVENING. 
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................81-85. 
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. 
* MAX HUMIDITY....................47-67 PCT. 
*    24 HR TREND..................14 PCT WETTER. 
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH. 
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............EAST 10 TO 20 MPH. 
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. 
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT. 
* LAL.............................1. 

.TUESDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF 
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................93-103. 
*    24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES COOLER. 
* MIN HUMIDITY....................28-38 PCT. 
*    24 HR TREND..................10 PCT WETTER. 
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH. 
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............EAST 15 TO 25 MPH. 
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT IN THE 
  MORNING...BECOMING 10 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT. 
* LAL.............................1 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 2 IN 
  THE AFTERNOON. 
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE 
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 


.EXTENDED...
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS 72-83. HIGHS
91-100. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 70-77. HIGHS 86-95. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS 70-76. HIGHS 87-96. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 72-77. HIGHS 88-97. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 74-78. HIGHS 91-100. 

$$

.8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...MONDAY SEPTEMBER 22ND THROUGH WEDNESDAY
SEPTEMBER 24TH...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND NEAR MEDIAN
PRECIPITATION.