965 
FXUS61 KCAR 102020
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
420 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THEN BEGIN
TO MOVE EAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT ACROSS THE
REGION LATER WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. A SLOW MOVING COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE AWAY FROM THE COAST THIS EVENING. SHOWERS
WILL END IN SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA AND THE HIGH
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING CLEARING SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS.
TEMPERATURES WILL FALL AS LOW AS THE UPPER 30S IN NORTHERN ZONES
AND LOW TO MID 40S ELSEWHERE. FROST IS UNLIKELY...BUT PATCHY
SHALLOW FOG WILL DEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE FOG IS MOST LIKELY
WHERE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL OCCURRED TODAY IN THE CENTRAL ZONES.
THE LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES PERSIST INTO WEDNESDAY WITH A VERY
PLEASANT DAY FORECAST. HIGHS WILL REACH THE UPPER 70S WITH LOW
HUMIDITY. A SEA BREEZE WILL DEVELOP IN THE AFTERNOON...BUT HIGHS
WILL STILL REACH THE MID TO UPPER 70S ALONG THE COAST BEFORE THAT
OCCURS.  
&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY WHILE A
WARM FRONT LIFTS ACROSS THE REGION. CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE
ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS LATE ACROSS MOSTLY WESTERN AREAS. THE MOST EXTENSIVE
SHOWERS THURSDAY WILL OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
FORECAST AREA...TO THE NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT. WITH HIGH PRESSURE
TO THE EAST AND A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT TO THE WEST...MOISTURE
WILL BE DRAWN NORTHWARD ACROSS THE REGION IN ADVANCE OF THE
APPROACHING COLD FRONT. EXPECT A STEADIER RAIN TO DEVELOP ACROSS
THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT AND PERSIST INTO FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE AT SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVELS THURSDAY...WITH BELOW
NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES FRIDAY.
&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL BRING SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE AREA AS IT MOVES THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
SATURDAY. THERE ARE SOME DIFFERENCES IN THE MODELS REGARDING HOW
QUICKLY THIS FEATURE MOVES THROUGH AND THIS WILL DETERMINE HOW
QUICKLY CONDITIONS IMPROVE FOR SATURDAY. CURRENTLY THE GFS
ADVERTISES A SOMEWHAT FASTER SOLUTION THAN THE ECMWF AND THE GEM
GLOBAL. WILL KEEP THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE FORECAST FOR
SATURDAY WITH THE BEST CHANCES FOR PRECIP ALONG WITH THE MOST
CLOUD COVER OCCURRING OVER EASTERN AND NORTHERN AREAS.

CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CLEAR OUT BY SUNDAY BRINGING A BEAUTIFUL
END TO THE WEEKEND UNDER HIGH PRESSURE WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM HEADING INTO NEXT MONDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT
SYSTEM WHICH WILL BRING THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS BY LATE MONDAY
INTO TUESDAY.
&&

.AVIATION /20Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR OUTSIDE OF SOME PATCHY SHALLOW FOG AROUND SUNRISE. 

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION EARLY
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...LOWERING TO MVFR LEVELS LATER WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY...WITH MVFR TO LIFR
CONDITIONS THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS
CAN BE EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY WITH CONDITIONS
IMPROVING BY LATE SATURDAY. VFR FOR SUNDAY INTO NEXT MONDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: LIGHT WINDS AND SOUTH SWELL AROUND 2 FEET WILL
CONTINUE. AREAS OF FOG WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT...BUT MOVE AWAY FROM
THE WATERS FOR WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CONDITIONS ARE THEN POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.
VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED IN SHOWERS THURSDAY...WITH RAIN AND
PATCHY FOG THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&

$$
NEAR TERM...MCW
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...FITZSIMMONS
AVIATION...MCW/NORCROSS
MARINE...MCW/NORCROSS