431 
FNUS75 KMSO 131918
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR ELK CREEK RX
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
118 PM MDT SUN APR 13 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 MDT ON APRIL 14. 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE 
DOMINANT FEATURE ON MONDAY.  SOME HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE THROUGH THE RIDGE WHICH COULD CAUSE SOME THIN HIGH CLOUDS
OVER THE FIRE.  CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR RHS TO DROP
WELL BELOW THE 40 PERCENT MARK, ESPECIALLY ALONG THE RIDGE LINE.
THE BOTTOM OF THE FIRE SHOULD BE SHELTERED FROM THE WINDS AND BE 
PRIMARILY OUT THE SOUTH. WHILE MID SLOPE TO RIDGE WILL HAVE 
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WITH GUSTS AROUND 15 MPH BY LATE MORNING/EARLY
AFTERNOON.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. 
CWR.................0 PERCENT. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....BOTTOM 53-58...TOP 48-53. 
MIN HUMIDITY........BOTTOM 18-23 PERCENT...TOP 14-19 PERCENT. 
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 3-5 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 15
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON MAINLY ALONG THE RIDGE. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL. 
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 MPH. 

$$
FORECASTER...SMITH
REQUESTED BY...MATT MARTENS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140414.ELKCR.01/MSO