National Weather Service Text Product
AFOS product AFDLKN
Dates interpreted at 00:00 UTCDisplaying AFOS PIL: AFDLKN
Product Timestamp: 2014-04-01 16:45 UTC
Bulk Download
Bulk Download
Bulk Download Help
This bulk download tool provides the NWS text
in a raw form, hopefully directly usable by your processing system.
You can either provide a complete 6-character PIL/AFOS ID or provide
the 3-character base ID (e.g., AFD
). The start and end
dates represent 00 UTC for those dates. The Zip format is useful as
the filenames will have the product timestamp, which is useful for
when the product format has ambiguous timestamps.
275 FXUS65 KLKN 011645 AFDLKN AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV 945 AM PDT TUE APR 1 2014 .SYNOPSIS...SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AND UNSEASONABLY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NEVADA THROUGH WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE ON THURSDAY AS DRY WEATHER RETURNS. && .UPDATE...CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR ELKO AND WHITE PINE COUNTIES, BUT KEPT IT UP FOR ZONE 031 (NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY). STRONG DRY SLOT HAS INVADED MUCH OF NEVADA, WITH EARLY APRIL SUNSHINE MAKING QUICK WORK OF ANY SNOW OR SLUSH ON ROADWAYS. CLOUDS REMAIN THICK ACROSS NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY WITH ADDITIONAL SNOW SHOWERS, SO WILL KEEP THE ADVISORY THERE A BIT LONGER. WEBCAM NEAR JACKPOT ON U.S. HIGHWAY 93 SHOWS SNOW IS MELTING ON THE HIGHWAY AND CONDITIONS ARE IMPROVING, AND THAT ADVISORY MAY BE DROPPED SOON. PLENTIFUL SUNSHINE WILL HELP US EASILY GET TO OUR CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURE OF 36 DEGREES, AT WHICH POINT SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS OF SNOW/SNOW PELLETS WILL REDEVELOP. INSTABILITY IS SUBSTANTIAL WITH ISOLATED LIGHTNING EXPECTED. ROADWAYS WILL REMAIN WET, BUT VISIBILITY WILL BE SHARPLY REDUCED AND VARIABLE AROUND THESE SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. TURNER && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED AT 731 AM / SYNOPSIS...SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AND UNSEASONABLY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NEVADA THROUGH WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE ON THURSDAY AS DRY WEATHER RETURNS. UPDATE...CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR LANDER, EUREKA AND HUMBOLDT COUNTIES AS MEANINGFUL SNOW HAS ENDED. INTENSE FRONTOGENETIC SNOWBAND THAT PRODUCED 2-5 INCHES FROM ELKO TO LAMOILLE HAS NOW PIVOTED INTO NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY AS EXPECTED. WEBCAM AT JACKPOT SHOWS U.S. HIGHWAY 93 REMAINS SNOW COVERED AND TREACHEROUS. WILL ALLOW WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY TO CONTINUE FOR ELKO AND WHITE PINE COUNTIES A FEW MORE HOURS THIS MORNING, TO ACCOUNT FOR HAZARDOUS ROADWAYS ABOVE 5500 FT. EARLY APRIL INSOLATION WILL MAKE SHORT WORK OF THAT, AND EXPECT THE ADVISORY FOR ELKO COUNTY CAN BE DROPPED AROUND 9 AM. HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS HAVE BEEN ROTATING THROUGH WHITE PINE COUNTY, WITH ELY REPORTING VISIBILITY DOWN TO 1/4 MILE RECENTLY. SPOTTER IN ELY JUST REPORTED A QUICK 2.7 INCHES. DRY AIR ADVECTION WILL SHUT DOWN SNOW PRODUCTION THERE SHORTLY OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS. NUMEROUS SHOWERS OF SNOW AND/OR SNOW PELLETS (GRAUPEL) EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. INSTABILITY WILL BE SUBSTANTIAL AS APRIL SUNSHINE INTERACTS WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION ALOFT. ISOLATED LIGHTNING EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. TURNER PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED AT 323 AM / SYNOPSIS...A WINTER STORM WILL SETTLE OVER THE GREAT BASIN TODAY...WITH MUCH OF THE SNOW IT PRODUCES FALLING THIS MORNING...BUT WITH SOME SNOW SHOWERS LINGERING THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DRIER WEATHER WILL RETURN THURSDAY. ANOTHER STORM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY. SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY. STORM FROM THE PACIFIC CURRENTLY SLIDING ACROSS THE STATE. BASED ON LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND RADAR TRENDS...IT APPEARS TO BE ON THE LOWER END OF EXPECTATIONS INTENSITY (AND SNOWFALL) WISE...SO ACCUMULATIONS WILL LIKELY END UP ON THE LOW SIDE OF OUR WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES...BUT HAVE NOT MADE ANY CHANGES AS THIS CAN STILL MAKE FOR A SOMEWHAT MESSY MORNING COMMUTE. WITH EXPECTED FASTER STORM MOTION APPEARING TO PAN OUT...ENDED WESTERN STRIPE OF ADVISORIES AT 8AM...AND ITS POSSIBLE MOST OF THE ADVISORY AREA MAY BE DONE THAT EARLY ASIDE FROM CONVECTIVE SNOW SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON AS THE FGEN BAND IS RACING NORTH AND EAST. SNOW WILL STILL LINGER LONGEST IN NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY...BUT THE ADVISORY THERE MAY BE ABLE TO BE CANCELLED BY THE AFTERNOON PACKAGE. STILL EXPECT THE HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS IN THE NORTH WHERE THE SHORTWAVE AND ASSOCIATED FGEN FORCING SLOWS DOWN LATER ON. AFTER THE FGEN BAND CLEARS THE AREA...SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS COMBINED WITH THE CLOSED LOW MOVING TOWARD US WITH COLDER AIR ALOFT WILL RESULT IN CONSIDERABLE INSTABILITY...SO DECIDED TO INCLUDE ISOLATED THUNDER FOR MOST OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. TODAY SHOULD BE PRETTY CHILLY WHEN ALL IS SAID AND DONE...EVEN COOLER THAN SUNDAY MOST LIKELY. A STIFF BREEZE WILL ALSO DEVELOP BY THIS AFTERNOON...SO AS MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY...A RATHER UNPLEASANT APRIL FOOLS GAG FROM MOTHER NATURE. TONIGHT THE CORE OF THE TROUGH WILL MOVE OVERHEAD...BUT FORCING WILL BE SPLIT BETWEEN ONE VORT MAX (THE REMAINDER OF THIS MORNING'S SYSTEM) TO THE NORTH AND ANOTHER WITH THE MAIN SYSTEM PASSING TO OUR SOUTH...SO MIDDLE PARTS OF THE AREA WILL SEE MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS AND SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS WHICH WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO GET PRETTY NIPPY. AS THE PIECE OF ENERGY TO THE NORTH STARTS TO SPIN SOME MORE VORTICITY TOWARDS US LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY...ANOTHER BAND OF SNOW MAY DEVELOP NORTH OF INTERSTATE 80. WILL NEED TO WATCH THIS FOR A POTENTIAL WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY EVENT. TROUGH AXIS MOVES EAST OF US ON WEDNESDAY...SO WHILE SNOW SHOWERS SHOULD AGAIN BE COMMON WE DO NOT EXPECT WIDESPREAD NEW SNOWFALL AFTER EARLY MORNING. TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN CHILLY HOWEVER. SOME INDICATIONS OF THUNDER AGAIN WITH AMPLE INSTABILITY BUT DECIDED TO WAIT TO SEE HOW TODAY PANS OUT IN THAT DEPARTMENT BEFORE ADDING ANY THUNDER FOR TOMORROW. RIDGE FINALLY STARTS MOVING IN ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND LINGERS THURSDAY WITH MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS AND PARTIAL CLEARING. TEMPERATURES WILL AGAIN BE PRETTY CHILLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT BUT BY THURSDAY SOME WARMING IS EXPECTED. HOWEVER...IN WESTERN AREAS CLOUDS WILL START TO INCREASE AGAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS THE NEXT SYSTEM LOOMS ON THE HORIZON. RCM LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY. THE MODELS SEEM TO BE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN...A PROGRESSIVE ONE. A SHORTWAVE RIDGE AXIS WILL BE MOVING EAST OF THE GREAT BASIN THURSDAY NIGHT. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL SPAWN A COLD FRONT FRIDAY. THEN A SUBSTANTIAL RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE GREAT BASIN LATE IN THE WEEKEND THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...PROMISING TO BRING AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF DRY CONDITIONS. THURSDAY NIGHT. THE NAM MODEL IS DEVELOPING A BAND OF SHOWERS OVER LANDER COUNTY OUT AHEAD OF THE UPPER LOW AND THE GFS SHOWS SOME MOISTURE INFLUX BY DAWN OVER WESTERN HUMBOLDT COUNTY. BUT FOR ALL INTENT AND PURPOSE THIS COULD TURN OUT TO BE A DRY PERIOD AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM DUE TO MODERATE AMPLIFICATION OF THE EXITING RIDGE. FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BE BRINGING MORE RAIN AND SNOW TO THE AREA. AT THIS TIME...A COLD FRONT IS TIMED TO MOVE THROUGH THE ELKO AND SPRING CREEK AREAS LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WITH SNOW ACCUMULATION FOCUSED MORE ON THE 5500 FEET LEVEL. SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. THE PACIFIC RIDGE WILL BE AMPLIFYING. IT APPEARS THAT NORTHEAST NEVADA MAY HAVE LINGERING SHOWERS THROUGH SUNDAY DUE TO THE DIRTY FLOW ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE RIDGE AXIS. HOWEVER BY LATE SUNDAY OR MONDAY THE MEAN PACIFIC RIDGE WILL BE STRONGLY AMPLIFIED AND POSITIONED CLOSER TO THE CALIFORNIA COAST...YIELDING DRIER CONDITIONS. AVIATION...THE MAIN CONCERN THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE SNOW SHOWERS. GREATEST IMPACT WILL BE AT KWMC KEKO AND KELY. CIGS AND VIS WILL LOWER TO IFR WITH INTERMITTENT LIFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE EARLY TUESDAY. IMPROVING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING HOWEVER SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE. && .LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY. && $$ 99/99