042 
FNUS73 KSGF 141013
FWSSGF

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAN HOLLOW...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
513 AM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MARCH 14. 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

MORNING UPDATE...

WINDS WILL QUICKLY INCREASE THIS MORNING OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST. 
SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 15 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH WILL BE COMMON
THIS MORNING. WIND SPEEDS WILL THEN GRADUALLY DECREASE DURING THE
AFTERNOON AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST. WINDS 
WILL BECOME MORE WESTERLY BY THE MID AFTERNOON HOURS AS THE FRONT
APPROACHES THE AREA. THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL THEN OCCUR LATE THIS 
AFTERNOON/EARLY THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST 
BEHIND THE FRONT AND WILL REMAIN LIGHT. 

RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP TO AROUND 25 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. 
HUMIDITIES WILL DROP QUICKLY THIS MORNING AS HUMIDITIES WILL DROP TO NEAR
30 PERCENT BY MID DAY. 

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60 AT IGNITION...MAX 70. 
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 25 PERCENT. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 17 MPH AT 
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE WEST WINDS 10 TO 18 MPH 
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH DECREASING TO 
                    AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. 
WIND SHIFT..........WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM THE SOUTHWEST TO THE WEST
                    EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL THEN SHIFT FROM 
                    THE WEST TO NORTHWEST EARLY THIS EVENING. 
CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT. 
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAXIMUM 2100 FT AGL 
                    INCREASING TO 4400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 29 TO 36 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 20 
                    TO 26 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. 

TIME (CDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....                            
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   
TEMP............60     66     70     68     
RH..............35     29     26     29     
20 FT WIND......SW 14  SW 12  W 10   W 6    
20 FT WIND GUST.30     25     20     10     
MIX HGT (FT)....1300   2900   4200   4000   
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 33  W 31   W 26   W 20   
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     
HAINES INDEX....5      4      3      3      

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 41. 
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 79 PERCENT. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING 
                    BECOMING LIGHT. 
WIND SHIFT..........NONE. 
CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT. 
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR 
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....N/A. 

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....                                          
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   
TEMP............66     59     52     48     45     43     
RH..............32     40     52     62     70     77     
20 FT WIND......NW 5   NW 3   N 2    N 2    NE 2   E 2    
20 FT WIND GUST.10     5      5      5      5      5      
MIX HGT (FT)....3200   2000   1400   800    400    300    
TRANSPORT WIND..W 17   W 12   N 6    N 2    NE 3   E 7    
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     0      0      0      10     10     
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      5      5      4      

$$
FORECASTER...WISE
REQUESTED BY...CHARLENE NAZARENKO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140314.BEANH.01/SGF