310 
FXUS63 KSGF 180526
AFDSGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1126 PM CST Sun Nov 17 2013


.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Monday)
Issued at 223 PM CST SUN NOV 17 2013

Pressure gradient will begin to relax this evening, bringing an
end to the strong winds we have had the past couple of days. A
clear sky will allow temperatures to dip back into the mid 30s to
low 40s tonight. High pressure will move overhead on Monday and
with plenty of sunshine expected, temperatures should climb back
into the mid to upper 50s.

.LONG TERM...(Monday Night through Sunday)
Issued at 223 PM CST SUN NOV 17 2013

Shortwave energy over Baja on Monday will track across the
southern Plains into the lower Mississippi valley on Tuesday.
Moisture will be very limited and not expecting any precipitation
with this.

Additional shortwave energy will begin to move into the area on
Wednesday and we will have better chances of rainfall as Gulf
moisture will be on the increase.

Split flow is expected to develop late in the week as a cutoff low
develops off the California coast and broad southwest flow aloft
develops ahead of this into the forecast area. A continued chance
of rain will persist through the end of the week.  

By Friday into the weekend, the northern stream low will begin to dig
into the Great Lakes region with a cold air mass pushing south
into the Plains and Mid Mississippi valley. May have a mix of
wintry precipitation before it ends Friday night and the colder
drier air mass moves on on Saturday. Have dropped pops for
Saturday to account for this.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday Night)
Issued at 1123 PM CST SUN NOV 17 2013

Pilots can expect VFR conditions at area terminals tonight through
Monday.

Northwest winds at the surface will become more northerly Monday
as surface high pressure builds into the region. Low level wind
shear will impact terminal sites the first part of the overnight
hours.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Lindenberg
SHORT TERM...Lindenberg
LONG TERM...Lindenberg
AVIATION...Foster