164 
FXUS62 KFFC 291535 AAB
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1135 AM EDT TUE OCT 29 2013

.UPDATE...

WILL SEND A ROUND OF UPDATES SHORTLY...TEMPS NOT WARMING QUITE AS
MUCH AS ANTICIPATED AND NEW GUIDANCE COMING OUT IS POINTING TO
COOLER MAX TEMPS FOR TODAY. HAVE NOT GONE QUITE AS COOL AS NEW
GUIDANCE WOULD INDICATE BUT DID DECREASE HIGHS BY A DEGREE OR TWO
ACROSS THE AREA...BUT STILL ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS. OTHERWISE
GRIDS ARE LOOKING ON TRACK FOR THE MOST PART.

TDP

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 725 AM EDT TUE OCT 29 2013/ 

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
MODELS IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT SHOWING WEAK UPPER RIDGING
PERSISTING OVER THE REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SOME WEAK RIPPLES IN
THE FLOW RIDE UP OVER THE RIDGE PRODUCING AT LEAST SOME LIGHT
PRECIPITATION BUT FOR NOW IT APPEARS THAT THIS WILL REMAIN NORTH
OF THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE SHORT TERM FORECAST PERIOD. WINDS
REMAIN LIGHT... MAINLY SOUTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST WITH SURFACE RIDGING
IN PLACE DOWN THE EAST COAST INTO GEORGIA.

WITH THIS PATTERN IN PLACE...TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE SEASONAL 
NORMALS THROUGH THE PERIOD. 

WIDESPREAD FOG IS EXPECTED THIS MORNING...WITH PATCHY AREAS OF DENSE 
FOG. WITH AN EXPANDING AREA OF MID-LEVEL CEILINGS DEVELOPING ACROSS 
THE AREA I DO NOT BELIEVE THE DENSE FOG WILL BECOME WIDESPREAD 
ENOUGH FOR A DENSE FOG ADVISORY AT THIS TIME. 

20

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
UPPER RIDGE MOVING OFF SHORE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND SOUTHWEST FLOW
WILL BE INCREASING ACROSS THE AREA. MODELS STILL IN GENERAL
AGREEMENT ON TIMING OF NEXT FRONT...PUTTING IT IN THE VICINITY OF
THE MS RIVER BY 00Z FRIDAY. HAVE KEPT ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THE
NORTHWEST CORNER THURSDAY MORNING...INCREASING POPS OVER THE
NORTHWEST BY AFTERNOON. FRONT SHOULD BE CROSSING THE CWA LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY WITH LIKELY OR HIGHER POPS FOR THOSE
TIME PERIODS. HAVE CONTINUED WITH A MENTION OF THUNDER FOR THOSE
TIMES AS WELL. FRIDAY NIGHT SHOULD SEE POPS ENDING FROM THE
NORTHWEST BUT WITH A LINGERING CHANCE OF THUNDER PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL. BY SATURDAY MORNING DRY NORTHWEST FLOW SHOULD DOMINATE THE
FORECAST AREA. CONTINUED DRY THROUGH THE FIRST OF THE WEEK.

41

AVIATION...
12Z UPDATE...
STILL A WIDE MIXTURE OF VFR TO IFR...AND EVEN SOME LOCAL LIFR... 
CONDITIONS CURRENTLY ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...HOWEVER THE MAJORITY 
OF THE ARE HAS IMPROVED TO A MIXTURE OF VFR/MVFR. MVFR AND LOWER 
CONDITIONS ARE MAINLY DUE TO FOG. THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO 
CONTINUE THROUGH AROUND 13-15Z WITH VFR CONDITIONS AREAWIDE AFTER. 
ALL TAF SITES EXCEPT KATL AND KCSG ARE EXPECTED TO EXPERIENCE SOME 
PERIODS OF MVFR VISIBILITIES THROUGH THIS TIME PERIOD. CEILINGS ARE 
EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE 5-8KFT RANGE ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND NORTH 
GEORGIA THROUGH AROUND 18Z WITH SCT TO OCCASIONAL BKN CLOUDS IN THE 
6-10KFT RANGE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF CENTRAL GEORGIA. AFTER 18Z SCT 
CLOUDS 6-10KFT WILL CONTINUE. WINDS WILL REMAIN EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 
4KTS OR LESS THROUGH 15-18Z BUT BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY 3-6KTS AFTER 
18Z. BY 22-00Z WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH ONCE AGAIN TO 4KTS OR 
LESS AND BECOME PREDOMINATELY SOUTHEASTERLY. 

//ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE...
HIGH FOR GENERAL TRENDS...MEDIUM FOR TIMING OF ELEMENT CHANGES. 

20

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          73  52  78  59 /   0   5   5  10 
ATLANTA         73  57  77  62 /   0   5   5  10 
BLAIRSVILLE     69  50  73  56 /   0  10  10  10 
CARTERSVILLE    73  51  77  58 /   0  10  10  10 
COLUMBUS        78  56  80  63 /   0   5   5  10 
GAINESVILLE     71  55  76  60 /   0  10  10  10 
MACON           78  54  80  59 /   0   5   5  10 
ROME            73  51  78  57 /   0  10  10  10 
PEACHTREE CITY  74  52  78  56 /   0   5   5  10 
VIDALIA         80  57  81  62 /   0   5   5  10 

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$