391 
FXUS64 KBMX 061746
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1246 PM CDT SAT JUL 6 2013

.UPDATE...
FOR 18Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

VERY LITTLE CHANGES TO THE CURRENT FORECAST AS TEMPERATURES AND
TRENDS ARE ON TRACK. RAISED POPS IN TH WEST TO ACCOUNT FOR OUTFLOW
DEVELOPMENT IN THE NORTHWEST LATER THIS AFTERNOON. NO CHANGES IN
THE EAST...AS 100 PERCENT IS AS HIGH AS WE CAN GO. OTHERWISE MAIN
CONCERN TODAY WILL BE LOCALIZED FLOODING. WE ALREADY HAVE HAD A
GOOD INCH OF RAIN IN THE LARGE SWATH ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA... SO
ANY PERSISTENT BANDING THIS AFTERNOON WILL LIKELY CAUSE ISSUES.
UPDATES HAVE BEEN SENT.

16


&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

RADAR LOOKS ALOT LIKE IT DID WITH THE MORNING TAF UPDATE. ALL
SITES SHOULD SEE RAIN. MGM...EET...BHM...AND ANB WILL SEE RAIN
LIKELY FOR THE NEXT 6 HOURS...WITH TEMPO IFR WITH THE HEAVIER
BANDS. TCL MAY SEE THE FRINGES OF THE RAIN...SO WENT TEMPO RAIN
HERE. TOI WILL LIKELY SEE ON AND OFF SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A
THUNDERSTORM. NOT CONFIDENT ENOUGH TO INCLUDE THUNDERSTORM AT THIS
TIME AND WILL AMEND IF NEEDED. 

16

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA.

&&

$$