681 
FXUS64 KTSA 052054
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
354 PM CDT WED JUN 5 2013

.DISCUSSION...
MORNING CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED BUT AIRMASS HAS NOT FULLY
RECOVERED AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT THAT IS JUST BEGINNING TO ENTER
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS ARE TRYING TO DEVELOP
ALONG THE FRONT AT THIS TIME AND WILL INCLUDE A PRE FIRST PERIOD
TO COVER THIS ACTIVITY THAT SHOULD DISSIPATE BY SUNSET.

ANOTHER MCS WILL FORM ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE AND
NORTHWEST TEXAS THIS EVENING AND MOVE EAST SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT
INTO THURSDAY MORNING. THE NORTHERN FRINGES OF THIS ACTIVITY MAY
AFFECT PARTS OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA BUT WILL CARRY A DRY FORECAST
OVERNIGHT ACROSS MOST OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA. RAIN CHANCES WILL END IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA DURING THE
DAY THURSDAY AS THE COLD FRONT CONTINUES SOUTH AWAY FROM THE AREA.

DRY AND SEASONABLY COOL WEATHER IS EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY. AN UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA LATE THIS
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL RESULT IN OUR FIRST
EXTENDED STRETCH OF HOT AND HUMID WEATHER THIS YEAR...WITH
AFTERNOON HIGHS MOSTLY IN THE 90S AND OVERNIGHT LOWS ONLY FALLING
INTO THE 70S. ANY RAINFALL CHANCES WILL REMAIN TOO SLIM TO MENTION
THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

STAYED CLOSE TO GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   59  80  57  80 /  10  10  10  10 
FSM   63  82  59  81 /  10  10  10  10 
MLC   62  80  57  80 /  30  10  10  10 
BVO   56  80  54  79 /  10  10  10  10 
FYV   57  77  51  76 /  10  10  10  10 
BYV   57  77  53  76 /  10  10  10  10 
MKO   61  80  56  80 /  10  10  10  10 
MIO   58  78  55  78 /  10  10  10  10 
F10   61  80  57  80 /  20  10  10  10 
HHW   65  81  59  82 /  40  20  10  10 

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....05

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