National Weather Service Raw Text Product
Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDFFC Product Timestamp: 2013-03-26 14:05 UTC
Previous in Time Latest Product Next in Time
View All KFFC Products for 26 Mar 2013 View All AFD Products for 26 Mar 2013 View As Image Download As Text
074 FXUS62 KFFC 261405 AFDFFC AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 1005 AM EDT TUE MAR 26 2013 .UPDATE... GENERAL UPDATE TO REMOVE MENTION OF FREEZE WARNING FOR THIS MORNING...WHICH WAS ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 10 AM. THE FREEZE WARNING IS STILL IN EFFECT FOR 2 AM TO 10 AM WEDNESDAY. 31 && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 739 AM EDT TUE MAR 26 2013/ PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 420 AM EDT TUE MAR 26 2013/ SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL US THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE AXIS SITUATED ACROSS NORTHERN GA IS HELPING PRODUCE SOME SPOTTY BUT VERY LIGHT PRECIPITATION ACROSS NORTHERN GA THIS MORNING...A RASN MIX OR ALL SNOW IN THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS. THE SHEAR AXIS SHOULD SHIFT SOUTHWARD DURING THE DAY AS A MID LEVEL TROUGH SWINGS THROUGH. ANY PRECIP CHANCES SHOULD END BY THE EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL STAY TO THE WEST THROUGH WEDNESDAY. NORTHERLY FLOW WILL HELP KEEP TEMPS BELOW NORMAL. MIN TEMPS TUESDAY NIGHT WILL ONCE AGAIN BE AT OR BELOW FREEZING FOR MUCH OF THE CWFA...SO HAVE GONE AHEAD AND ISSUED ANOTHER FREEZE WARNING. NLISTEMAA LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/... HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA TO START THE LONG TERM. THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT EVEN OUT TO DAY 7 WITH TIMING BUT THEY DO DIFFER A BIT WITH INTENSITY OF NEXT SYSTEM. THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE THAT IS OVER THE AREA IN THE BEGINNING OF THE EXTENDED KEEPS A DECENT HOLD OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK. THERE ARE A FEW LITTLE WEAK WAVES THAT TRY TO MOVE INTO THE STATE BUT LOOKS LIKE ALL WE WILL SEE IS SOME OFF AND ON INCREASED CLOUD COVER THROUGH FRIDAY. OUR NEXT CHANCE OF ANY REAL PRECIP WILL BE NEXT WEEKEND. THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE BOTH SHOWING THE NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVING IN FROM THE WEST FRIDAY WITH MOISTURE MOVING IN ACROSS THE STATE SAT/SUN. THE ACTUAL FRONT DOES NOT PUSH THROUGH THE AREA UNTIL SUN NIGHT INTO MONDAY BUT THEY BOTH ARE SHOWING THE SAME TREND. THE DIFFERENCE IS THE GFS IS SHOWING MUCH DEEPER MOISTURE MOVING IN WITH THIS SYSTEM THAN THE ECMWF. THEY ARE BOTH SHOWING VERY LITTLE INSTABILITY SO HAVE DECIDED TO CONTINUE WITH SHOWERS ONLY...BUT AM STILL NOT SURE WHICH TO GO WITH ON THE AMOUNT OF PRECIP TO EXPECT. KEEPING SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE AREA SAT THROUGH MONDAY. TEMPS EXPECTED TO STAY AT OR SLIGHTLY BELOW SEASONAL NORMS THROUGH THE EXTENDED. 01 AVIATION... 12Z UPDATE... COLD AIR STRATO CU AGAIN THIS MORNING. SOME MVFR CIGS HAVE BEGUN TO CREEP SOUTHWARD INTO THE ATLANTA METRO AREA. WINDS WILL REMAIN NW SUSTAINED 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 22-25KT POSSIBLE TODAY. AS SOON AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE PUSHES SOUTH OF THE AREA...SKIES SHOULD GO CLEAR IN THE IN EVENING. //ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE... MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON CIGS. HIGH CONFIDENCE REMAINING ELEMENTS. ATWELL && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... ATHENS 49 29 56 30 / 20 0 0 0 ATLANTA 45 29 53 34 / 20 0 0 0 BLAIRSVILLE 39 26 48 28 / 30 0 0 0 CARTERSVILLE 45 29 54 30 / 20 0 0 0 COLUMBUS 50 30 58 36 / 5 0 0 0 GAINESVILLE 45 29 53 34 / 20 0 0 0 MACON 50 29 58 33 / 5 0 0 0 ROME 46 29 55 29 / 20 0 0 0 PEACHTREE CITY 46 28 55 29 / 10 0 0 0 VIDALIA 52 32 58 37 / 5 0 0 0 && .FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FREEZE WARNING FROM 2 AM TO 10 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BALDWIN...BANKS...BARROW...BARTOW...BIBB... BLECKLEY...BUTTS...CARROLL...CATOOSA...CHATTAHOOCHEE... CHATTOOGA...CHEROKEE...CLARKE...CLAYTON...COBB...COWETA... CRAWFORD...CRISP...DADE...DAWSON...DEKALB...DODGE...DOOLY... DOUGLAS...EMANUEL...FANNIN...FAYETTE...FLOYD...FORSYTH... GILMER...GLASCOCK...GORDON...GREENE...GWINNETT...HALL... HANCOCK...HARALSON...HARRIS...HEARD...HENRY...HOUSTON... JACKSON...JASPER...JEFFERSON...JOHNSON...JONES...LAMAR... LAURENS...LUMPKIN...MACON...MADISON...MARION...MERIWETHER... MONROE...MONTGOMERY...MORGAN...MURRAY...MUSCOGEE...NEWTON... NORTH FULTON...OCONEE...OGLETHORPE...PAULDING...PEACH... PICKENS...PIKE...POLK...PULASKI...PUTNAM...ROCKDALE...SCHLEY... SOUTH FULTON...SPALDING...STEWART...SUMTER...TALBOT... TALIAFERRO...TAYLOR...TELFAIR...TOOMBS...TOWNS...TREUTLEN... TROUP...TWIGGS...UNION...UPSON...WALKER...WALTON...WARREN... WASHINGTON...WEBSTER...WHEELER...WHITE...WHITFIELD...WILCOX... WILKES...WILKINSON. && $$ SHORT TERM...39 LONG TERM....31 AVIATION...39