AFOS product FWSSGF
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Product Timestamp: 2013-03-14 14:12 UTC

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021 
FNUS73 KSGF 141412
FWSSGF

SPOT FORECAST FOR EAGLE S NEST...MO DNR/MSP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
912 AM CDT THU MAR 14 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MARCH 14. 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY...WITH HIGHS WARMING
INTO THE UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70 DEGREES IN THE VICINITY OF THE BURN SITE. 
WINDS WILL BE SOUTHWESTERLY TODAY...AND SOMEWHAT GUSTY AT TIMES.  
WINDS WILL DECREASE QUICKLY DURING THE EARLY EVENING...AS THE SUN 
BEGINS TO SET AND BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING DECREASES. RH PERCENTAGES
TODAY WILL DROP INTO THE 30S FOR MOST PLACES...THOUGH LOCALIZED 
AREAS DIPPING INTO THE UPPER 20S WILL BE POSSIBLE. 

FRIDAY WILL BRING EVEN WARMER CONDITIONS...WITH HIGHS APPROACHING 80
AT THE BURN SITE.  RH VALUES WILL BE SIMILAR TO THURSDAY...WITH CONTINUED
SOUTHWEST WINDS. 

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL APPROACH THE REGION EARLY SATURDAY...WHICH 
WILL RESULT IN SURFACE WINDS BECOMING NORTHERLY. 

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54 AT IGNITION...MAX 68. 
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 29 PERCENT. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 12 MPH AT 
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 15 
                    MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 30 MPH IN 
                    THE AFTERNOON. 
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAXIMUM 2000 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 26 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 30 
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

TIME (CDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR 
WEATHER COV.....                            
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   
TEMP............54     62     66     67     
RH..............37     29     29     32     
20 FT WIND......SW 10  SW 12  SW 11  SW 9   
20 FT WIND GUST.20     30     25     20     
MIX HGT (FT)....900    1700   2000   1900   
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 24  SW 29  SW 30  W 28   
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      
HAINES INDEX....4      5      5      5      

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 46. 
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 83 PERCENT. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING 
                    BECOMING LIGHT. 
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT. 
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR 
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....N/A. 

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR 
WEATHER COV.....                                          
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   
TEMP............66     62     58     55     52     50     
RH..............33     41     52     65     74     79     
20 FT WIND......SW 7   SW 5   SW 4   SW 3   SW 3   SW 4   
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     5      5      5      5      
MIX HGT (FT)....1600   1000   400    300    300    200    
TRANSPORT WIND..W 26   W 24   W 21   W 18   W 18   W 21   
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0      
HAINES INDEX....6      5      4      4      4      5      

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 78. 
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 31 PERCENT. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15 TO 16 MPH. 
WIND SHIFT..........LIGHT EARLY THEN BECOMING STRONGER FROM THE 
                    SOUTHWEST.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT. 
HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR 
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300 FT AGL EARLY IN 
                    THE AFTERNOON. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 23 TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 33 TO 36 
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. 

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR 
WEATHER COV.....                                          
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   
TEMP............46     49     59     69     75     77     
RH..............86     82     61     42     33     31     
20 FT WIND......SW 4   SW 5   SW 6   SW 9   SW 11  SW 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     15     20     25     25     
MIX HGT (FT)....200    200    500    1300   2300   3100   
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 23  SW 24  SW 23  SW 23  SW 26  SW 33  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0      
HAINES INDEX....5      5      6      6      6      6      

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 52. 
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 56 PERCENT. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH. 
WIND SHIFT..........WINDS TURNING TO THE NORTHWEST AND THEN NORTH EARLY
                    ON SATURDAY. 
CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT. 
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 6 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR 
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 14 TO 40 MPH. 

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....                                                                      S CHC  S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR 
TEMP............75     69     64     62     59     55     52     54     58     63     65     66     
RH..............35     45     52     54     57     66     76     74     63     53     50     49     
20 FT WIND......SW 10  SW 10  SW 9   SW 9   SW 7   SW 5   W 2    NW 2   N 3    NE 5   NE 5   NE 6   
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     15     15     15     10     5      5      10     10     10     15     
MIX HGT (FT)....3300   2200   500    400    400    400    300    400    800    2500   3500   3300   
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 39  SW 40  SW 38  SW 33  SW 29  W 23   W 18   NW 15  N 14   NE 14  NE 16  NE 18  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0      0      10     10     10     20     20     
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      6      6      6      5      3      2      2      

$$
FORECASTER...LINDENBERG
REQUESTED BY...TIM SMITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130314.EAGLE.02/SGF