960 
FXUS64 KLZK 272352
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
555 PM CST WED FEB 27 2013

.AVIATION...
STRONG LOW PRESSURE CONTINUE TO PULL AWAY SLOWLY KEEPING WINDS A BIT 
ON THE GUSTY SIDE DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS. SKIES WILL CLEAR OUT 
FOR ALL AREAS EXCEPT THE NORTH BUT REGARDLESS...VFR CONDITIONS WILL 
PREVAIL. SOME MVFR CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP AROUND SUNRISE OVER 
CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE STATE. 

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT

ANOTHER IN A SERIES OF UPR LVL IMPULSES PASSED ACRS THE REGION 
EARLIER TODAY...PRODUCING SOME LGT RAIN/SNOW ACRS PARTS OF WRN AND 
CNTRL AR. THE FEATURE HAD SHIFTED E OF THE AREA BY THE AFTN HRS...
WITH PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES NOTED. MID AFTN TEMPS RANGED FM 
THE 40S IN THE N TO THE LOWER AND MID 50S ACRS CNTRL AND SRN AR.

CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT WL CONT TO BRING A SERIES OF IMPULSES SEWD ACRS 
THE FA IN THE COMING DAYS. THIS WL RESULT IN PDS OF CLOUDS AND SMALL 
PRECIP CHCS...MAINLY FOR PARTS OF NRN AND ERN AR. TIMING AND 
STRENGTH OF EACH SYS WL BE A CHALLENGE THRU THE FCST PD.

CURRENTLY DATA INDC THE NEXT UPR WV WL AFFECT THE REGION BY LATE THU 
AND THU NGT. A MORE POTENT UPR SYS WL DROP SEWD ACRS AR LATE FRI 
INTO SAT. STILL APPEARS THE BEST SUPPORT/LIFT FOR ANY PRECIP WL RMN 
ACRS THE NERN HALF OF THE FA...WHERE LOW CHC POPS ARE NOTED. FCST 
TEMPS INDC A LGT RAIN MIXED WITH SNOW ON FRI/EARLY FRI NGT...
TRANSITIONING OVR TO LGT SNOW LATER FRI NGT AND EARLY SAT AS COLDER 
AIR MOVES IN. PRECIP AMTS STILL LOOK TO BE LGT...WITH LTL IN THE WAY 
OF SNOW ACCUMULATION EXPECTED ACRS NERN AR.

HIGH PRES WL BRING A REINFORCING SHOT OF COLDER AIR TO THE MID SOUTH 
HEADING INTO SAT AND SAT NGT. CONTD TO UNDERCUT MOS TEMPS SOMEWHAT...
ESP ACRS NRN AR...WHERE CLOUDS WL PERSIST LONGER AND SFC WINDS WL BE 
MOVG ACRS LINGERING SNOWPACK UPSTREAM IN THE COMING DAYS.
&&

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A DEEP TROUGH WILL BE OVER THE EASTERN U.S. TO BEGIN THE PERIOD WITH 
A STRONG RIDGE OVER THE ROCKIES. THIS WILL PROVIDE NORTH FLOW ALOFT 
OVER ARKANSAS. THE RIDGE WILL WEAKEN SOMEWHAT AS IT MOVES EAST AND 
AN UPPER LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS MONDAY. THIS LOW 
WILL THEN SLIDE SOUTHEAST TO THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY WEDNESDAY.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER ARKNASAS SUNDAY AND WILL MOVE 
INTO TENNESSEE MONDAY. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE 
PLAINS MONDAY WITH A COLD FRONT. AS THIS FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE 
AREA...THE SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE. THE 
FRONT WILL EXIT THE STATE TUESDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS 
TUESDAY AND WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL 
BE BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD. 
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...44 / LONG TERM...51 / AVIATION...56