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704
FNUS72 KMHX 291207
FWSMHX
SPOT FORECAST FOR GREAT LAKE ROAD...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
707 AM EST TUE JAN 29 2013
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EST ON JANUARY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OFFSHORE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A
STRONG COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST WEDNESDAY AND
BRING GUSTY WINDS. THE FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST
THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE
AREA SUNDAY...FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRESSURE MONDAY.
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 12 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 9 TO 17
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (EST) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............49 47 48 49 50 51
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................67 68 69 69 69 67
RH..................65 65 63 63 63 68
20 FT WIND DIR......W W SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD......7 7 7 7 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....10 15 10 10 10 10
LVORI...............3 1 1 1 2 3
ADI.................31 57 48 35 23 14
HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 16 MPH.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............52 52 54 56 59 62 65 66 66 67 67 67
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................65 63 61 60 60 59 59 58 58 57 57 57
RH..................73 78 84 87 90 93 93 96 96 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR......SW S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD......5 5 5 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 9
20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 10 10 10 15 15 15
LVORI...............3 4 5 5 5 6 5 5 5 5 5 5
ADI.................6 5 5 5 6 9 11 12 13 14 14 14
HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 4 4
.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35
MPH...INCREASING TO 18 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP
TO 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 23 MPH...INCREASING TO 31 TO 40
MPH.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............68 68 64 69 73 77 82 84 85 88 90 92
WEATHER COV......... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........ RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................56 56 58 61 65 67 69 71 70 70 69 68
RH..................100 100 96 87 78 75 73 71 73 73 76 78
20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD......9 10 11 14 14 15 17 18 18 18 18 17
20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 25 30 30 35 35 35 35 35 35
LVORI...............5 5 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
ADI.................15 15 18 21 25 44 69 90 85 77 67 54
HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
$$
FORECASTER...CULLEN
REQUESTED BY...JAMES CHERRY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130129.GREAT.01/MHX