National Weather Service Text Product
AFOS product AFDMAF
Dates interpreted at 00:00 UTCDisplaying AFOS PIL: AFDMAF
Product Timestamp: 2012-08-30 19:29 UTC
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590 FXUS64 KMAF 301929 AFDMAF AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 229 PM CDT THU AUG 30 2012 .DISCUSSION... NORTHEAST FLOW WRAPPING AROUND ISAAC HAS BROUGHT DRIER AIR AND A VERY PLEASANT DAY TO WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO. THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF ISAAC MEANS ONE MORE DAY OF THE SAME BEFORE SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNS AND TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO CLIMB BACK ABOVE NORMAL. THE HOTTEST DAYS OF THE FORECAST PERIOD WILL BE EARLY NEXT WEEK WHEN HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S AND LOWER 100S ARE SEEN ACROSS THE AREA. THE MAV/MEX GUIDANCE SEEMS A BIT LOW FOR MOST OF THE FORECAST...ESPECIALLY IN THE LATTER HALF OF THE FORECAST PERIOD WHERE IT SEEMS TO SHOW A CLIMATOLOGICAL BIAS. WENT MORE IN LINE WITH THE ECMWF MOS GUIDANCE AND UNFORTUNATELY HIGHER TEMPERATURES. THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE COMING INTO BETTER AGREEMENT FOR LATE NEXT WEEK AND NEXT WEEKEND. THEY SHOW AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE GREAT LAKES AND AMPLIFYING A WESTERN U.S. RIDGE. THIS COULD BRING THE FIRST GOOD POST SUMMER FRONT WITH TEMPERATURES DROPPING BELOW NORMAL FOR A CHANGE. IN ADDITION BOTH MODELS ARE SHOWING THE FRONT MAY BE ACTIVE WITH PRE AND POST FRONTAL PRECIPITATION SO IT WILL BE INTERESTING TO SEE IF THE MODELS HANG ON TO THIS SOLUTION. HENNIG && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... ANDREWS TX 60 94 69 94 / 0 0 0 0 BIG SPRING TX 64 93 69 96 / 0 0 0 0 CARLSBAD NM 58 94 67 96 / 0 0 0 0 DRYDEN TX 71 97 75 94 / 0 0 0 10 FORT STOCKTON TX 65 94 71 93 / 0 0 0 0 GUADALUPE PASS TX 62 86 66 88 / 0 0 0 0 HOBBS NM 59 92 66 94 / 0 0 0 0 MARFA TX 50 86 58 88 / 0 0 0 0 MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX 62 94 69 94 / 0 0 0 0 ODESSA TX 64 94 71 94 / 0 0 0 0 WINK TX 62 98 71 96 / 0 0 0 0 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...NONE. TX...NONE. && $$ 27/10