220 
FNUS53 KDTX 150712
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
309 AM EDT WED AUG 15 2012

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES WILL SHIFT EAST OF
THE AREA BY TONIGHT. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL BE THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY AS A POWERFUL COLD FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH THE CENTRAL
GREAT LAKES. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM 40 TO 50
PERCENT THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-152100-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
309 AM EDT WED AUG 15 2012

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 PM...THEN 
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 
                    9 AM. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81. 
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........47-55 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......10980-11480 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH. 
VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (1210). 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65. 
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER. 
MAX HUMIDITY........89-96 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH. 
VENTILATION INDEX...'POOR' (0). 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE 
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 11 AM UNTIL 
                    3 PM...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 
                    UNTIL 4 PM...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 
                    LIKELY. POP...60 PERCENT. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84. 
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........52-62 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......8790-9290 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND 25 
                    MPH LATE. 
VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (2640). 
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN. 


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-152100-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
309 AM EDT WED AUG 15 2012

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 PM...THEN 
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 
                    9 AM. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80. 
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........49-59 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......11080-11580 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING WEST. 
VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (1130). 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64. 
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER. 
MAX HUMIDITY........90-98 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AFTER 
                    MIDNIGHT. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH. 
VENTILATION INDEX...'POOR' (0). 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE 
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER NOON UNTIL 
                    3 PM...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 
                    UNTIL 4 PM...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 
                    LIKELY. POP...60 PERCENT. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84. 
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........53-63 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......8650-9150 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH. 
VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (2650). 
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN. 


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-152100-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
309 AM EDT WED AUG 15 2012

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 
                    9 AM. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84. 
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........42-52 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......9940-10440 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH. 
VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (1260). 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65. 
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER. 
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH. 
VENTILATION INDEX...'POOR' (0). 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF 
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 PM UNTIL 
                    4 PM...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. 
                    POP...60 PERCENT. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87. 
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........47-55 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......12440-12940 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 
                    AROUND 30 MPH IN THE 
                    AFTERNOON...THEN...DECREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH 
                    LATE. 
VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (3660). 
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN. 


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND
20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. 

$$

KURIMSKI